THL - Tourism Holdings

[Dusty]

Not sure what the driver is for the recent rise off its lows around 45c but I was lucky enough to get in at 47c with the longterm trendline break.

Obviously the NZX have their suspicions as well as they have queried THL as to the sudden price rise which has been on fairly solid volume.

I have watched this shareprice fall for quite some time now always intending to enter on the break in the long term trendline. I often wonder why people buy a share in a downtrend when it is the easiest thing in the world to wait for the reversal to occur before jumping in.

Your money can be working somewhere else in the meantime!

Similar method as me, I got in at 49c. I have been scouring the internet looking for the driver as well. I thought MOT may have changed it forecasts for tourists to NZ, they have but it has been downgraded to 2.5% for 2010from 4%. This along with several comments that even this may be hard to achieve, a spike of 6.5% during 2011 however. Only news from THL is that they have are still complying with disclosures rules. Anyone else got an idea?
Only other thing is Aussie visitors are up and their market is performing so well, THL low was 41c in early July. This can't just be speculation because Volume was has been over 500,00 and 400,000 on some of the respected days which is much greater than the usual trading range.

[Dusty]

Similar method as me, I got in at 49c. I have been scouring the internet looking for the driver as well. I thought MOT may have changed it forecasts for tourists to NZ, they have but it has been downgraded to 2.5% for 2010from 4%. This along with several comments that even this may be hard to achieve, a spike of 6.5% during 2011 however. Only news from THL is that they have are still complying with disclosures rules. Anyone else got an idea?
Only other thing is Aussie visitors are up and their market is performing so well, THL low was 41c in early July. This can't just be speculation because Volume was has been over 500,00 and 400,000 on some of the respected days which is much greater than the usual trading range.

ABN halved its valuation of THL to 51c and Forsyth Barr are at $1.13 with both maintaining a hold. Several brokers have downgraded their forecast for results on the 26th from a prefit to a loss. Most probably no dividend this year so surely in spite of the negative forecasts Volume and SP arn't being driven by the Great Kiwi Invite campaign