THL - Tourism Holdings

[winner69]

From what i can make out , the 30 v 60 MA IS CLOSING AND THE BOLLI BANDS ARE QUITE TIGHT. Things might be turning ?

and a close above 5 bucks is good .... a break out on the cards ...550 and then 600 again

those acquisitions (or being taken over) must be close ...they've teased us too long

[Yoda]

and a close above 5 bucks is good .... a break out on the cards ...550 and then 600 again

those acquisitions (or being taken over) must be close ...they've teased us too long

We are more or less where we were Dec 18 week 1......
then came a nice jump.
i had bought some in July at 6.10 but soon sold everything at 5.9 on the way down .
looking to buy in again, but happy to have made 30 % so far. It does look promising .

[Leftfield]

We are more or less where we were Dec 18 week 1......
then came a nice jump.
i had bought some in July at 6.10 but soon sold everything at 5.9 on the way down .
looking to buy in again, but happy to have made 30 % so far. It does look promising .

I did well out of THL and like the company, but no longer hold. To my mind the TA is not looking great as it is into 'death cross' territory with a base support level at $5.00

Attachment 10269

It's going to need some positive news or Winners 'acquisition' to reignite the SP IMHO. When that happens I'll be back in.

[winner69]

I did well out of THL and like the company, but no longer hold. To my mind the TA is not looking great as it is into 'death cross' territory with a base support level at $5.00

Attachment 10269

It's going to need some positive news or Winners 'acquisition' to reignite the SP IMHO. When that happens I'll be back in.

That high gives us hope

Been there before so not new territory / blue sky stuff eh

[winner69]

It's going to need some positive news or Winners 'acquisition' to reignite the SP IMHO. When that happens I'll be back in.

It’s been some time since thl started teasing us about the global expansion plans and that they’ll give us a new earnings target for 2020 ‘significantly higher’ than $50m (the last target they have given)

As time passes maybe that was all ‘big hat, no cattle’ as they say in Texas. Just teasing us eh

Without these global acquisitions to drive growth thl is only worth $4.00/$4.50 at best

Maybe they themselves being taken over is actually now the best outcome for shareholders

[golden city]

Some kind of positive news is imminent I think Upward trend activate

[minimoke]

Some kind of positive news is imminent I think Upward trend activate

May have to wait to 26 Feb. I dont mind as long as the SP continues its upwards growth.

[winner69]

Maybe Air New Zealand saying “Markets showing signs of slower growth include leisure travel within domestic New Zealand and softening inbound tourism traffic.” could also apply to thl

AIR announcement sort of implies leisure travel globally not as buoyant as last few years

Maybe that’s why share price down today

[winner69]

Net migration is falling and the government want it to fall faster.

This is an interesting insight from my mate Rodney -

“It probably isn't a coincidence that net tourism and net migration have started to fall at roughly the same time much as occurred after the previous booms in the first half of the 2000s. It seems that around the same time the permanent net flow of people turns up or down the temporary flow driven mainly by tourists does the same. As covered in our housing and building reports there are good reasons for expecting further sizeable downside in net migration. By implication that implies that net tourism will probably fall further ......”

http://www.sra.co.nz/pdf/TourismThreatOct17.pdf

Maybe the signs were there

[simla]

Hmm, but then thl is not just NZ. Obviously the world confidence levels affect tourism though, and they are seriously hard to read presently.

However, the TH2 digital platform just got a new CEO from high up in expedia (which also owns trivago). http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...929/294189.pdf

Your posts on thl seem variously up or down, Winner. I don't really understand? Are you just nervous that they are a good company but in a market that requires the good times to keep going?