I got a copy of the investment statement/prospectus last night. The offer price range of $1.45 - $1.70 seems to equate to a pro-forma P/E of 19.5 - 22.9 when fully diluted for 11.5m employee options and 0.9m convertible notes. Forward P/E of 15.9 - 18.7 on the same basis.
Profit margins seem lowish for this type of business. Also need to make allowance for reasonably generous employee share plans (up to 3% of capital per year) and possible low liquidity.
Real value is probably highly dependent on execution of growth strategy - i.e. can they create value by purchasing businesses using new equity? So expect a feedback loop on the share price and a valuation spiral. In a strong market, the chance of an upward spiral is increased.
Overall, I think it looks a fair listing in current market.
Liz, are they keeping the capital raised in the IPO for themselves or retaining for growth?
Having got ourselves into a debt-induced economic crisis, the only permanent way out is to reduce the debt – either directly by abolishing large slabs of it, or indirectly by inflating it away.
Approx 22m shares come from sale by an existing shareholder (Opus International (NZ) Ltd), while 7m are new shares issued by the company. However Opus International retain 90.5m shares (67% of capital) which are held under a lock-up for 16 months.
As I understand it, the main reason for public listing is to facilitate acquisitions via the ability to offer new equity as part of a purchase price. Any acquisitions are not included in forecasts.
TT...you got that right.I managed to get a few...after jumping up and down (over the phone).The broking companies I rang all sounded really p..... off .
Having said that I suppose it always happens when something half decent is offered.
Does anybody know of any brokerage company that still has Opus available?
I've already tried ASB Securities and Direct Broking who aren't doing it/ have already ran out of an allocation. I've also tried First NZ Capital who said that they are only allocating to their clients.
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