2011...Will it be another Year of the Bull or is it Bear-time once again?
Well, we now know who won the race in 2010? The Bulls
..The Dow ended the 2010 year up
+11%
Good news..eh another "up" year following the 2009 year of
+19%
Therefore 2011 going to be better, especially with the global economy in recovery mode, you would think..huh?...Out with cash and lets buy up stocks...3 years of a rising market is common I hear you say...the dates and figures below proves it so...eh
1924 - 1928....4 years in a row
1933 - 1936....4 years in a row
1942 - 1945....4 years in a row
1949 - 1952....4 years in a row
1954 - 1956....3 years in a row
1963 - 1965....3 years in a row
1970 - 1972...
3 years in a row
1985 - 1989....5 years in a row
1991 - 1999....9 years in a row...wow
and 10 years have past us by ...so ...we must be overdue for another 3+ years..eh
Ok..party pooper time... here's the bad news....note the
blue date
History shows us that since 1901 ...only
once has there been 3 "up" years in a row in a Secular Bear Market Cycle
1970...+ 5%
1971...+ 6%
1972...+15%
The DOW has seen many 3+ "up years in a row within the Secular Bull market cycle as shown above (the black dates)
.... unfortunately the DOW is presently in the middle of a Secular Bear Market Cycle (2000-????)
It's 2011 now and it's another
blue date... do you still feel lucky?
2009 - 20??....
? years in a row
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