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  1. #3551
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    BP ..you seem pretty certain those with money in the bank are going to lose all their money
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #3552
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    BP ..you seem pretty certain those with money in the bank are going to lose all their money
    That's not what I said.

    However - losing your cash in a recession is clearly as well a risk which investors need to consider and manage (similar to the risks of a company rolling up their toenails), particualrly if we assume that the times get a bit rougher ...

    Of interest: Most OECD countries offer government guarantees for bank savings. NZ does not - i.e. we will be each on our own if a bank crashes.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  3. #3553
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    If that happens wonder what OCA will be at ...70 cents something
    Actually, on reflection I think that a direct comparison of OCA with RYM shares during the GFC is not quite appropriate.

    The difference is - RYM pays a significantly lower dividend (and certainly did in 2007 to 2009) than OCA, which makes it more likely to tank during times when the markets re-rate growth.

    OCA shares should behave more like a bond with tagged on growth potential ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  4. #3554
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    https://www.oneroof.co.nz/news/35810 Melbourne real estate tanking...can't be easy for elderly folks to sell their homes for what they need to buy RYM's expensive units.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  5. #3555
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    https://www.oneroof.co.nz/news/35810 Melbourne real estate tanking...can't be easy for elderly folks to sell their homes for what they need to buy RYM's expensive units.
    Not so as RYM Melbourne units are less than Melborne's average sale price,and most probably half in areas RYM have their villages.

  6. #3556
    Aspiring to be an Awesome Bear
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    Have to say I have been tempted to buy a few at this price....but I am trying to be patient and not impulsive as I suspect it has further to fall...

    In fact after reading other posts I dont think I should be buying anything....probably should be selling some..
    Last edited by RupertBear; 03-01-2019 at 07:51 PM. Reason: Saw the light

  7. #3557
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    Not so as RYM Melbourne units are less than Melborne's average sale price,and most probably half in areas RYM have their villages.
    I think so too, a bit of variation in realestate prices does not effect the profits of RYM. One has to have a good understanding of their business model to see that.

  8. #3558
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by forest View Post
    I think so too, a bit of variation in realestate prices does not effect the profits of RYM. One has to have a good understanding of their business model to see that.
    Agreed............................................ ...........

  9. #3559
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    Quote Originally Posted by RupertBear View Post
    Have to say I have been tempted to buy a few at this price....but I am trying to be patient and not impulsive as I suspect it has further to fall...

    In fact after reading other posts I dont think I should be buying anything....probably should be selling some..
    Go on be bold, I bought some at $10.72 , you know you can always average down. PS-Impulsive has its place young bear.

  10. #3560
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    Quote Originally Posted by RupertBear View Post
    Have to say I have been tempted to buy a few at this price....but I am trying to be patient and not impulsive as I suspect it has further to fall...

    In fact after reading other posts I dont think I should be buying anything....probably should be selling some..
    RubertBear at todays closing price of $10.71 you are not likely go wrong. David Kerr, RYM Chair topped up his RYM share portfolio 2 months ago for $11.18
    If he sees value over 11 dollars and you are not buying, I like to know why you think David Kerr made a mistake with his latest purchase?

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