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  1. #2451
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    Solid HY results beats analysts:

    https://nzx.com/companies/RYM/announcements/273767

  2. #2452
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Another boomer result for Ryman coming up this week. Plenty in way of revaluations still coming through

    I reckon they on track for 1/4 billion real profit in FY16. Book value will rise in lie with this.
    First half $130m - so 1/4 billion for full year an the light side methinks

    Book value has increased to $1.2 billion as at H1 so share price currently at 3.1 times or 2.8 times f16 forecast.

    So becoming more 'realistically' priced but markets just love stars so anything can happen
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  3. #2453
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    Great news....even better when it makes the Herald

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11548410

  4. #2454
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    Quote Originally Posted by LAC View Post
    Great news....even better when it makes the Herald

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11548410
    Another cracker.!

  5. #2455
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    Q&A's "we expected to have 50% sold at 250k, we instead have 80% at an average of 400k"

  6. #2456
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    Quote Originally Posted by OldGuy View Post
    Back in yesterday at $7.60. Sold out 2 years ago at $7.85.
    This should be interesting. Target exit price is $10 within the next 2 years.
    This. Market darling priced for absolute perfection and is performing to absolute perfection so that's good but we could easily see another year when the SP simply tracks sideways...then effectively through EPS growth the SP becomes reasonable value again, (In my opinion) and I effectively get my $6.50 I've been waiting quite some time for. Divvy yield is now about 2%.
    Last edited by Beagle; 20-11-2015 at 10:14 AM.

  7. #2457
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    First half $130m - so 1/4 billion for full year an the light side methinks

    Book value has increased to $1.2 billion as at H1 so share price currently at 3.1 times or 2.8 times f16 forecast.

    So becoming more 'realistically' priced but markets just love stars so anything can happen
    Are we not supposed to value retirement villages by underlying profit? It is all well and good to look at NPAT but I base my valuations on underlying profit which is $70.3m. Looking at underlying earnings at $70.3m, assume $140m for year, this gives forward PE of around 27. Not too bad for a company growing at 15-20%. Compare that with FPH and RYM looks cheap.

    I haven't had chance to review todays communications in full so don't know if they have provided forecast for 2nd half or further out.

  8. #2458
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nasi Goreng View Post
    Are we not supposed to value retirement villages by underlying profit? It is all well and good to look at NPAT but I base my valuations on underlying profit which is $70.3m. Looking at underlying earnings at $70.3m, assume $140m for year, this gives forward PE of around 27. Not too bad for a company growing at 15-20%. Compare that with FPH and RYM looks cheap.

    I haven't had chance to review todays communications in full so don't know if they have provided forecast for 2nd half or further out.
    Nasi, I see underlying earnings as a measure of operational day day performance. it is also the base used to determine dividend payments

    Some use it to value RYM but a lot of investment managers use the full NPAT and Book Values. Those represent the full value of what the company is worth.

    On this basis a PE of 13/14 and 3 times book value. Cheap?
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  9. #2459
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nasi Goreng View Post
    Are we not supposed to value retirement villages by underlying profit? It is all well and good to look at NPAT but I base my valuations on underlying profit which is $70.3m. Looking at underlying earnings at $70.3m, assume $140m for year, this gives forward PE of around 27. Not too bad for a company growing at 15-20%. Compare that with FPH and RYM looks cheap.

    I haven't had chance to review todays communications in full so don't know if they have provided forecast for 2nd half or further out.
    RYM confirmed FY16 underlying profit growth 15%,so this full year underlying profit will be 136.3x1.15=156.7m.

  10. #2460
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    Pls let me know if I am doing something not right. I used the valuation formula:
    V=EPS*(7.5*2g) with g only as 10%
    =1331
    Is this correct.

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