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24-11-2015, 08:45 AM
#501
PSE - all on track mate
So $3m-$5m which is much better than last years $1.1m profit
Wonder where all of PSE posts have gone. Somebody deleted themselves from ST?
Last edited by winner69; 24-11-2015 at 08:46 AM.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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24-11-2015, 10:09 AM
#502
recently joined cav register looking at a higher bottom forming combined with improving fundamentals
one step ahead of the herd
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24-11-2015, 10:32 AM
#503
just got in on time today
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24-11-2015, 10:33 AM
#504
And boom they are now the blue sky that we chase.
3 - 5million at PE of 10 = 30-50m mcap
3 - 5 million at PE of 15 = 45- 75m mcap
3 - 5 million at PE of 20 = 60 - 100m mcap
The average and sweet spot is likely to be around 60 million Market Cap
Last edited by silverblizzard888; 24-11-2015 at 10:35 AM.
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24-11-2015, 10:48 AM
#505
Originally Posted by silverblizzard888
And boom they are now the blue sky that we chase.
3 - 5million at PE of 10 = 30-50m mcap
3 - 5 million at PE of 15 = 45- 75m mcap
3 - 5 million at PE of 20 = 60 - 100m mcap
The average and sweet spot is likely to be around 60 million Market Cap
im looking at 5m npat that they will achieve eps.07 pe 11-12 80c target close to your value
one step ahead of the herd
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26-11-2015, 01:45 PM
#506
it is truely getting life back ..cav....share price looks to get back to their feet
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26-11-2015, 01:46 PM
#507
next year should over 1 dollar
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26-11-2015, 02:41 PM
#508
I attended the AGM on Tuesday morning, and although thought Grant Biels speech was pathetic, was heartened to see the other directors with fresh ideas and a lot of enthusiasm. I hope they have got the right mix on board and that the appointment of the interim CEO confirmed as CEO is the correct decision. Interesting times ahead, and if momentum on the synthetics and abnormals become just that (abnormals) then there is potential for this company to initally trade on a PE of 10 again maybe which may indicate a share price of 60-70 cents if the profit targets are met. Quite a few ifs but I believe the current board are on the right track.
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26-11-2015, 03:18 PM
#509
Reality Check
Originally Posted by silverblizzard888
And boom they are now the blue sky that we chase.
3 - 5million at PE of 10 = 30-50m mcap
3 - 5 million at PE of 15 = 45- 75m mcap
3 - 5 million at PE of 20 = 60 - 100m mcap
The average and sweet spot is likely to be around 60 million Market Cap
Mid point is $4m and you have to take that with a grain of salt given recent performance, gives 5.8 cps. PE... well three things spring to mind.
1. This is a cyclical stock, when the building boom is going off like it has been for some time, they should be doing well if they can get their act together and in other times they won't even when they have their management governance and stock control sorted. Cyclical stocks generally trade on a PE of 10 in my view unless there are special factors.
2. Their extremely chequered track record. Put simply, this company surely deserves to be at a discount to any PE that would otherwise apply given recent year's performance.
Even being kind and applying a PE of 9 to 5.8 cps = 52 cps.
3. Are they paying the normal tax rate on that $4m ? (If not), earnings metrics will need to be recalculated at some stage in the future and normalised for company tax at 28%.
Last edited by Beagle; 26-11-2015 at 03:24 PM.
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26-11-2015, 03:23 PM
#510
Originally Posted by Roger
Mid point is $4m and you have to take that with a grain of salt given recent performance, gives 5.8 cps. PE... well three things spring to mind.
1. This is a cyclical stock, when the building boom is going off like it has been for some time, they should be doing well if they can get their act together and in other times they won't even when they have their management governance and stock control sorted. Cyclical stocks generally trade on a PE of 10 in my view unless there are special factors.
2. Their extremely chequered track record. Put simply, this company absolutely deserves to be at a considerable discount to any PE that would otherwise apply given recent year's performance.
Even being kind and applying a PE of 9 to 5.8 cps = 52 cps.
3. Are they paying the normal tax rate on that $4m ? (If not), earnings metrics will need to be recalculated at some stage in the future and normalised for company tax at 28%.
I could balance that out a bit with my previous post and say the checquered history MAY be gone with the new board they have chosen who MAY come out with new initiatives. I think the old board just got too lazy and comfortable and a lot of FAT started slipping in.
Totally agree with you about the PE of 10 though. If not more. So current share price is about right.
For those that are interested, asked 2 of the new directors and they were dead keen to purchase stock, but with updates and announcements had not had the opportunity under listing rules to date. Lets hope they do when the time comes that they are allowed to.
Last edited by blackcap; 26-11-2015 at 03:24 PM.
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