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  1. #2381
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Wonder if we will ever see what brevilles says are.

    Oz sales up $19m ….when they acquired Breville they mention something like $50m annual sales

    Would have to assume Michael Hill sales down ib Oz as well as NZ
    Not sure - in FY23 it was tucked into the Australian segment results within the notes to the financials - but as it was only owned for 4 weeks of FY23 not surprising. Proper disclosure would see it broken out as its own segment in FY24 and onwards but that could be asking too much.

    Bevilles is/was a $65m turnover / $8m EBITDA per annum business.

    Core MHJ stores in australia shrunk by 5 during the 26 week period to 31 dec 23.

  2. #2382
    Guru Rawz's Avatar
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    They did say at the time of the acquisition that some new Breville stores were to replace existing MHJ stores.
    In todays update they didn't mention if this occurred with the new openings/closing mix. Wonder if this is the case.

    Total store count should gradually increase over the next few years one would expect

  3. #2383
    percy
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  4. #2384
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Pretty dire headline says it all

    Michael Hill Jewellers closes stores, sacks staff as profit nosedives

    Hard to see them making much profit FY24 …….maybe npat $15m to $20m …..say eps of 5-6 cents

    Maybe a cyclical stock but if it is the company always seems a way to disappoint
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #2385
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Pretty dire headline says it all

    Michael Hill Jewellers closes stores, sacks staff as profit nosedives

    Hard to see them making much profit FY24 …….maybe npat $15m to $20m …..say eps of 5-6 cents

    Maybe a cyclical stock but if it is the company always seems a way to disappoint
    $15-20m NPAT - are you talking for the H1 or FY??

  6. #2386
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LaserEyeKiwi View Post
    $15-20m NPAT - are you talking for the H1 or FY??
    Full year …just my quick sums

    May about $20m is better guess

    Last 12 months Comparable EBIT about $36m …..can’t see things getting better through to June
    Last edited by winner69; 22-01-2024 at 09:43 AM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #2387
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    I'm just very skeptical of the Breville's acquisition.

    4 new Beville's stores in Australia in the six months, up from 26. So 15% store count growth in a single half. In the same period 5 under-performing Michael Hill stores were closed in Australia. A detailed breakdown of this store mix would be very interesting to see as, at a glance, it does seem like cannibalisation.

    Seems management intend to follow through on the plan to 3-4x the Beville's store count by FY28 (80-100), in a macro environment where LFL AU store sales are probably run-rating at negative mid to high single digit %s (and likely getting worse?). Let's not forget Beville's is no crown jewel and had its own troubles 10 years ago (went into administration after a change to the store footprint strategy https://www.jewellermagazine.com/Art...since-collapse).

    For me, at least a positive in that update was slight growth in Canada.

  8. #2388
    percy
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    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...631/411951.pdf

    How would it come to this.?
    4 year's packaging?
    Last edited by percy; 01-02-2024 at 05:21 PM.

  9. #2389
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Lots of pages but no mention of real profit, like NPAT

    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...845/413423.pdf
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #2390
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Found it …NPAT was $15.394m ….down 59% on pcp

    Future looking good though
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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