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What most people keep forgetting that present state of economy dont relate 1:1 with state of stocks ...like economy was not at all bad in June 2021 when stocks were down in the dumps ...even property was miles away from bottom ...thus all will agree that stocks anticipate the future the fastest ...even faster then what used to be normally historically .
Stocks have already factored the worst fears by June 2021 lows ...now its trying to figure out end game of this inflation saga ...Collective market wisdom is mostly more correct than any single person's prediction ....so need pay more attention to TAPE then forecasts ...
If people had done that they wud have been happily invested long time back rather then keep waiting for double dips or prolonged downturns etc ...once all market is certain of rates path is down ...by then its game over already
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 Originally Posted by alokdhir
What most people keep forgetting that present state of economy dont relate 1:1 with state of stocks
Exactly, and what nobody realises, is that the state of the economy can detach from stocks for 20 years...
This is what happened prior to the famous 'death of equities' in 1979.
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Originally Posted by alokdhir
If people had done that they wud have been happily invested long time back rather then keep waiting for double dips or prolonged downturns etc ...once all market is certain of rates path is down ...by then its game over already
Precisely.
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