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Thread: KMD - Kathmandu

  1. #1761
    Guru Rawz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nztx View Post
    Wonder if MHJ want to lend KMD their expert on "how to breathe life into a Dog hobbling along on three legs" ?
    Step 1: New CEO and CFO
    Step 2: Close all non performing stores
    Step 3: Stop gimmicky promotions
    Step 4: Incentivize sales team with new commission structure
    Step 5: Appoint online guru to leadership team to massively grow online sales
    Step 6: Bring in guru chairman Fyfe
    Step 7: Build massive cash pile with all time high margins
    Step 8: Blow massive cash pile on silly acquisition in NA or Europe
    Step 9: See step 1 lol

  2. #1762
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rawz View Post
    Step 1: New CEO and CFO
    Step 2: Close all non performing stores
    Step 3: Stop gimmicky promotions
    Step 4: Incentivize sales team with new commission structure
    Step 5: Appoint online guru to leadership team to massively grow online sales
    Step 6: Bring in guru chairman Fyfe
    Step 7: Build massive cash pile with all time high margins
    Step 8: Blow massive cash pile on silly acquisition in NA or Europe
    Step 9: See step 1 lol
    Lol nailed it

  3. #1763
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    Updated analysis to take into account comments and suggestions from Sharetrader members:

    https://recastinvestor.substack.com/...-brands-kmdnzx

  4. #1764
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    KMD market cap still less than what is was in late 2019

    Must mean something
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #1765
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    KMD market cap still less than what is was in late 2019

    Must mean something
    Couple of large volume sells through today, anyone happen to know who the seller is, several million shares. Due to not having many buyers in market today has subsequently driven the SP down pretty low. Buying opportunity possibly now!? Thoughts guys?

    RSI sub 30, oversold signalling buying op, who's on board?
    Last edited by Maxtrade; 11-05-2022 at 02:27 PM.

  6. #1766
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    KMD market cap still less than what is was in late 2019

    Must mean something
    Means their share price is bio-degradable, just like their new jackets.

    Kathmandu NZ

  7. #1767
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sideshow Bob View Post
    Means their share price is bio-degradable, just like their new jackets.

    Kathmandu NZ
    Have we missed an announcement, todays extreme fall currently 8% and still dropping is not making sense?

  8. #1768
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Maxtrade View Post
    Have we missed an announcement, todays extreme fall currently 8% and still dropping is not making sense?
    Somebody dumped a few million at 115

    Wonder who bought those?
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  9. #1769
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Somebody dumped a few million at 115

    Wonder who bought those?
    Yeah did you catch the bounce back, up 5% so far in an afternoon trade, happy with that.

    Maybe John Harvey selling out holdings. Hmmm in that case might not be done, could well be more to follow. Will need to check on his current holdings.

    if so repeat...
    1. Sell now
    2. Take the 5-7% days profits (if noted oversold RSI post earlier)
    3. Wait for the next parcel volume sell, either at close today or in the following day or 2. Buy back in on the threshold of dip likely ~1.10-1.13 - if not finished and second subsequent sell down follows.
    4. Take profits and repeat
    Last edited by Maxtrade; 11-05-2022 at 03:47 PM.

  10. #1770
    Advanced Member Entrep's Avatar
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    KMD Brands Trading Update

    o Record performance in Kathmandu's key winter promotional period.
    o Rip Curl continues to trade strongly across retail and wholesale channels.
    o Oboz suppliers have resumed full production following COVID-related factory
    closures, and inventory levels are recovering. Wholesale demand for Oboz
    products remains significantly above pre-COVID levels.
    o Retail trade in Australasia was impacted by the Omicron outbreak,
    particularly during the third quarter.
    o Underlying FY22 EBITDA (1) is expected to be in the range of $88 million to
    $94 million, and underlying EBIT (2) $53 million to $59 million.

    KMD Brands Limited (ASX/NZX: KMD, "KMD" or the "Company") provides the
    following update on trading performance for the year ending 31 July 2022
    ("FY22").

    Total sales are expected to be in the range of $955 million to $965 million.
    Underlying EBITDA (1) is expected to be in the range of $88 million to $94
    million, with underlying EBIT (2) in the range of $53 million to $59 million.

    As previously communicated, the year-on-year impact of COVID on first half
    EBITDA was approximately $35 million. Trading conditions have improved in the
    second half, however COVID continued to impact footfall, particularly in the
    third quarter, and caused sporadic store closures due to staff availability.
    Same store sales year-to-date ("YTD") remain positive for both Rip Curl and
    Kathmandu, despite the significant COVID impacts on retail. YTD direct to
    consumer ("DTC") same store sales (including online) for the 49 full weeks to
    10 July 2022:

    Same Store Sales YTD
    Rip Curl +2.1%
    Kathmandu +7.3%

    Group CEO and Managing Director Michael Daly said:

    "Rip Curl's wholesale and direct-to-consumer retail channels continue to
    perform well. Wholesale order books are above prior year levels as we look
    forward to next year."

    "Pleasingly, Kathmandu has experienced a record winter promotional period in
    Australia. Second half gross margins are well above last year due to a
    combination of currency benefit and updated promotional execution. Trading in
    New Zealand was weaker than in Australia reflecting lower growth in consumer
    footfall and revenues, offset by improved gross margins reflecting the
    deliberate strategy to carefully moderate the historic "high-low" pricing
    model. While Q3 was impacted by the ongoing COVID outbreak in both counties,
    Q4 profitability is expected to be above pre-COVID levels absent of any new
    government restrictions."

    "Oboz is recovering from the three-month COVID closure of Vietnam factories
    in the first half, compounded by shipping congestion and international
    freight delays. Oboz has received approximately two hundred thousand pairs of
    footwear in the past two months, as suppliers resumed full production.
    Additional supply has been secured for future seasons to meet order book
    demand."

    "Inventory levels are forecast to be above last year, reflecting decisions
    taken in the light of ongoing supply chain disruption, to accelerate orders
    to meet forward wholesale orders and expected retail demand. Inventory
    quality remains high, with depth in carry forward styles, and lower clearance
    levels year on year."

    "The Group continues to target our long-term objective of 0.5x net debt to
    underlying EBITDA."

    "We continue to deliver on our objectives to grow KMD into the leading family
    of global outdoor brands by elevating digital infrastructure and the consumer
    experience, leveraging operational excellence, and being a leader in ESG. KMD
    is well positioned for growth as travel rebounds globally, and COVID impacts
    on consumer behaviour and international supply chains ease."
    BTC went to $69K and now $16K. Good thing I’ve been warning you since it was $3K! I was right!

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