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Thread: KMD - Kathmandu

  1. #1941
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rawz View Post
    I reckon $39m-$40m profit which puts them on a 13.5-14 P/E
    If you take the average of the two npat numbers about spot on rawz

    NPAT $36.6m but in KMD lingo that’s really $43.3m

    And a really really positive commentary so no worries

    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...516/403312.pdf
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #1942
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Bit of slow start to new year with August sales down 6% on last year ….surprised they didn’t say that August last year was a huge month so not really comparable
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  3. #1943
    Guru Rawz's Avatar
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    Sell $120m more stuff. Make same amount as FY22

  4. #1944
    percy
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    I was surprised by the low 1.54 stock turns.
    Was expecting a bit better result.In the meantime I will continue to hold,as their outlook is positive,as is their cash flow from operations.
    Net cash inflow from operating activities $147,588,000 up from $81,808,000..
    FY24 OUTLOOK
    • Group sales for Aug 23 -6.4% below last year.
    • Kathmandu Q4 sales trend continues, but consistent with pre-pandemic sales levels for this time of year.
    • Rip Curl and Oboz have seen good momentum in direct-to-consumer sales.
    • Strategic plans remain unchanged, with key executive appointments (Kathmandu CEO, Chief Information Officer, and Chief Digital Officer) to drive strategy
    execution.
    • Ongoing new store opportunities. Minimum of 8 committed new stores in the first half.
    • Margin underpinned by excess supplier capacity in market, reducing international freight cost, channel mix to DTC, offsetting any short-term FX impacts.
    • Continued progress towards our 15% underlying EBITDA margin target, with right-sized cost base in place.
    • Ongoing reduction of working capital to 18% of sales target to drive strong cash flow generation.
    • Despite the challenging consumer sentiment, we are well positioned with tailwinds from continued return to travel, positive impact from the launch of innovative
    products and the outdoor lifestyle trend post-pandemic.
    Last edited by percy; 20-09-2023 at 10:58 AM.

  5. #1945
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    If you take the average of the two npat numbers about spot on rawz

    NPAT $36.6m but in KMD lingo that’s really $43.3m

    And a really really positive commentary so no worries

    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...516/403312.pdf
    Yep, certainly a positive rave in these distressed times ... great commentary, and good to see that they managed to achieve the expected revenue growth and sort of maintained their margins!

    While a 6 cent divvie (for the full year) is nice for holders, its a bit worrying to see that their EPS (roughly 5 cents, depending on how one counts the shares) is below that. Hope they plan to fund this with an amazing summer sales season rather than putting the additional divvie on their (so far good looking) balance sheet.

    Sounds however, they look with faith into the future ...

    Dividend trap or deep value game?
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  6. #1946
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rawz View Post
    Sell $120m more stuff. Make same amount as FY22

    Hey rawz …..don’t spoil the fun ….it was a great year
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #1947
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Rent reviews saw an overall reduction over 63 sites …..that’s good
    Last edited by winner69; 20-09-2023 at 11:27 AM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #1948
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    F23 npat if 37m or 43m still a lot less than the 51m and 58m reported in 2018 and 2019 …and they even made 42m in 2014

    Maybe a sign of what’s possible in coming years …….you’d have to say acquisitions haven’t added anything to bottom line yet
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  9. #1949
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    …….

    Dividend trap or deep value game?
    Surely a deep value play
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #1950
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    ROE= 4.3%
    FCF Yield= 4.2%

    I dare not calc the ROIC because i assume its value destruction

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