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  1. #1891
    Guru peat's Avatar
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    Red face

    Quote Originally Posted by hardt View Post
    A common theme is often late to the party, see this weeks Economist cover

    EconBull.JPG

    Ummmmm wait ..... where was I going with that one?
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  2. #1892
    An awesome cool cat winner69's Avatar
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    structural differences this time around

    So this time is different

    Only a bull market for 'traditionalists' ......no worries for the others
    The bullish case is always most compelling on the highs.

  3. #1893
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    structural differences this time around

    So this time is different

    Only a bull market for 'traditionalists' ......no worries for the others
    "The US stock market is only up 65% since the peak in 2000 which is a below average growth rate of just over 3%. This suggests a modest valuation. Historically stockmarkets grow at 10% per annum, which since the 2000 peak suggests a potential of 3 times its current level.
    US div yields are near middle of valuations too which suggest that the price is fair."
    But what would I know

  4. #1894
    SRV is a God STRAT's Avatar
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    Hi fellas and fellettes. Long time no see.
    I see Winner and Hoop have taken to replying to their own posts. We are all gettin older I suppose

    Hey Trackers, how is Phaedruses S&P500 tracker lookin these days?

  5. #1895
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    It hasn't paid to be a pessimist lately
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/einho...163704878.html

    I wonder when sentiment will change?

  6. #1896
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    POO ,inflation,interest rates on the rise.Has the S&P got another 50 % in it?
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/recog...142346695.html

  7. #1897
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  8. #1898
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    Sector rotation's will be frequent in 2018? Rotating from tech to financial's yesterday.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/to...of2&yptr=yahoo

  9. #1899
    Guru peat's Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/Silver_Watchdog/status/956987153380081664

    as he says, "Go ahead, jump in"

    DUfmu8fXcAUCa8A.jpg
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  10. #1900
    Membaa
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    Quote Originally Posted by peat View Post
    https://twitter.com/Silver_Watchdog/status/956987153380081664

    as he says, "Go ahead, jump in"

    DUfmu8fXcAUCa8A.jpg
    Incredible, a parabolic SP500 bull market, what could possibly go wrong. I thought it was the bitcoin chart for a moment, only this bubble hasn't burst yet.
    BAA

  11. #1901
    Membaa
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baa_Baa View Post
    Incredible, a parabolic SP500 bull market, what could possibly go wrong. I thought it was the bitcoin chart for a moment, only this bubble hasn't burst yet.
    Only a week later and maybe it has, burst.

    Patience, observance, acting on the insights. Easy to say, hard to do.
    BAA

  12. #1902
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    Where is Hoop? Would love to hear his take on things right now...

    Growth has been so parabolic lately that the last week has only written off one months growth. Any other time we could have been looking at a quarter or two’s growth.

  13. #1903
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    Looks like a return to a more normal sort of abnormal for this trend. Still trying to confirm what end stage we are in.

    SPX_20180207.JPG

  14. #1904
    Senior Member upside_umop's Avatar
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    What do you think you think about this chart? I acknowledge that markets slightly "different this time"; there is less less risk due to better disclosure and information than the historical average period.


    S&P500.jpg
    Last edited by upside_umop; 10-02-2018 at 02:33 AM.
    By the way - it's upside_down, not upside_umop

  15. #1905
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    It confirms what we already know, that this market is due a correction larger than the one we are seeing. If it breaks out of the current trading range significantly it would justify the safety measures that we are probably all taking anyway. But I'm not convinced it will happen just yet.

    I think this correction is more the result of the abnormal activity through January.

    My reading would suggest one of the indicators at the end of a Bull is the belief that each one is "different this time" and will go on for ever.

    SPX_20180210.JPG

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