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  1. #1411
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Mr Somette and his log time periodic advances and finite time singularities is an interesting study

  2. #1412
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Mr Somette and his log time periodic advances and finite time singularities is an interesting study
    Do you mean Didier Sornette ?

    I've bookmarked this guy for some weekend reading....

  3. #1413
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoop View Post
    Do you mean Didier Sornette ?

    I've bookmarked this guy for some weekend reading....
    Yes sorry mate

  4. #1414
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Watch this as a prelude to reading stuff. Had been looking at this stuff for a while but this talk is very good. The maths is pretty geek stuff

    http://www.ted.com/talks/didier_sorn...risis#t-654776

    Moosie better not watch as its about knowing bubbles before they burst
    Last edited by winner69; 22-08-2014 at 11:47 AM.

  5. #1415
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Whoopee, the magical 2000 been hit

    The way it's going be 2500 sooner than later ....then 3000

    Hope these log time periodic advances don't lead to a finite singularity

    Manat got to keep it going up to the next US election

  6. #1416
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    This time it is different. Then 2500 is coming soon

    http://www.philosophicaleconomics.com/2013/12/shiller/

    Was written end of last year but still relevant

    Quote: For most of history, the Shiller Cyclically-Adjusted Price-Earnings ratio (CAPE) oscillated in a pseudo sine wave around a long-term (130 year) average of 15.30. It spent 55% percent of the time above the average, and 45% of the time below–a reasonable result for a metric that allegedly mean reverts. Since 1990, however, the metric has only spent 2% of the time below its historical average–98% of the time above.


    And he goes on to say that it reverts to the mean only when wars or financial disasters happen

  7. #1417
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Yes that 3000 is coming

    http://www.businessinsider.com.au/mo...00-3000-2014-9

    A bit wimpish call though ......will be a lot faster than they say

  8. #1418
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    Quote Originally Posted by belgarion View Post
    It is with some regret that I can not continue to post on ShareTrader.

    Sharetrader administrators have become the sole judge and jury on political thinking. This close to the election?

    I have asked Vince to remove all my posts.

    Many kind regards to all those to whom critical thinking is a paramount part of being who we are.
    ... definitely sorry to see U go Belgarion
    All the Best and lots of success

  9. #1419
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    Quote Originally Posted by belgarion View Post
    It is with some regret that I can not continue to post on ShareTrader.

    Sharetrader administrators have become the sole judge and jury on political thinking. This close to the election?

    I have asked Vince to remove all my posts.

    Many kind regards to all those to whom critical thinking is a paramount part of being who we are.
    Belgarion, please think again about this, many of your posts are outstanding in quality, and the political threads are decaying into neo-liberal and conservative babble in your absence. Time is on our side, it'll be a different story in the next election, and it might not be three years, if National get back in.

  10. #1420
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    S&P500 hit all time high of 2019 before closing down at 2010

    This guy reckons that's the top for the year

    I reckon 2050, if not 2100, by Xmas but what he heck do I know in comparison to these anonymous gurus who uses a non de plume based on the 'The Great Bear of Wall Street'

    Stock Market Blogger 'Jesse Livermore' Is Calling The Top
    http://www.businessinsider.com.au/je...014-top-2014-9
    Last edited by winner69; 20-09-2014 at 09:02 AM.

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