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  1. #2231
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    PE of 12.7 if using EPS of 18c. NPAT up 35%. EPS growth of 20% --> Looks ok to me.

    "Excluding acquisition costs and the loss attributable to the investment in TIL's newest brand Goodness, EBITDA would have been $21.1 million."

    I wonder if they had reported $21.1m, whether or not that would have been enough to shift market sentiment?

  2. #2232
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Down 3 at close - spose could have been worse

    Next week could be better .......or else long long wait to the half year

    Hope Ross still touting the business around the traps. Takeover seems best route to riches

  3. #2233
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Joe - back out something for a full year of CS and that $1m adjustment the increase in NPAT doesn't look that flash

    Wouldn't that $1m 'investment' in Goodness helped the reported sales growth? So a bit mischievous trying to say 'if we exclude' ebitda would have been better. Investment needed to stay in the game
    Last edited by winner69; 27-05-2017 at 08:12 AM.

  4. #2234
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    They are doing due diligence as well as audit. It seems to me they have to be careful. But i'd say they thought there should be some impairment.It is a very detailed audit report.

  5. #2235
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    I don't understand the bit about Cs&Co contingent consideration.
    NPAT of $12.7 million, an increase of 35% including the benefit from the CS&Co contingent consideration adjustment
    CS&Co contingent consideration
    Contingent consideration discount unwind was in line
    with the prior year as expected.
    An adjustment was also made to contingent
    consideration based on the updated estimate of the
    second earnout payment.
    The earnout calculation is currently under review and as
    such a final earnout amount is yet to be agreed
    I've quickly googled this:
    Contingent consideration is the amount paid by the acquirer of a target company to the former owners of said company in case of the occurrence of certain future events. The exact events and their terms are outlined in the acquisition agreement entered into by both parties at the time of signing.
    But still don't understand. Can someone with more financial know how explain please?

    Also I see the 4.5c dividend excludes the Cs&Co earnings. Why is this?

    The result doesn't look bad to me anyway. I haven't really looked into BWX, but they're trading on like 30 x earnings.
    Gosh imagine if TIL was on that... it'd be $5.40 now!

    Given today's result, what is a fair PE to put TIL at?
    Say they can do +20% a year going forward, 20 would be fair? A $3.60 share price.

  6. #2236
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JayRiggs View Post
    I don't understand the bit about Cs&Co contingent consideration.


    I've quickly googled this:

    But still don't understand. Can someone with more financial know how explain please?

    Also I see the 4.5c dividend excludes the Cs&Co earnings. Why is this?

    The result doesn't look bad to me anyway. I haven't really looked into BWX, but they're trading on like 30 x earnings.
    Gosh imagine if TIL was on that... it'd be $5.40 now!

    Given today's result, what is a fair PE to put TIL at?
    Say they can do +20% a year going forward, 20 would be fair? A $3.60 share price.
    Jay - Look at Note 22 d) in the Financial Statements as per link re the contingent consideration. There is a little story that explains it all
    https://nzx.com/files/attachments/258987.pdf

    Last year they thought they had to another $7m to pay as an earn out - a year on they reckon it will be $6m so have a favourable item of $1m in the P&L this year. Final figure to be agreed though

    Read that note and it will be clear as mud - written by an accountant of course
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #2237
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    Jeepers its all to much for my little brain! Cant decide if its a good result or not? Cant decide whether to hold or sell a few time for another beer and then it may become clear!

  8. #2238
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Jay - Look at Note 22 d) in the Financial Statements as per link re the contingent consideration. There is a little story that explains it all
    https://nzx.com/files/attachments/258987.pdf

    Last year they thought they had to another $7m to pay as an earn out - a year on they reckon it will be $6m so have a favourable item of $1m in the P&L this year. Final figure to be agreed though

    Read that note and it will be clear as mud - written by an accountant of course
    Does the lower earn out mean the business brought is not performing as expected.?

  9. #2239
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    Quote Originally Posted by RupertBear View Post
    Jeepers its all to much for my little brain! Cant decide if its a good result or not? Cant decide whether to hold or sell a few time for another beer and then it may become clear!
    Forget the crystal gazing RB. :-))))))

    Look at the TA Look at the FA ... Then toss the coin. :-)))

    Seriously RB if it was a piece of cake .. We would not be on here trying to understand..

    Just be very sure you are happy with the decision when you push the button.

    Win some.. Ride them.. Lose some . Get off !!!! .. At least until you become confident ..

    DYOR..

  10. #2240
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    Does the lower earn out mean the business brought is not performing as expected.?
    Now now percy - putting doubt in people's mind

    The targets were probably 'stretched'
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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