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  1. #30
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    So - what do we think about TEM these days? Pretty depressed price reflecting the general feeling about the economy of the emerging markets.

    On the other hand ...

    * fuel is as cheap as it probably can get (which should be good for the automotive shares they own - e.g. Brilliance - 7.9% and Astra - 3.6%)
    * China has still a huge growth rate - and Chinese share prices are back to more reasonable levels (25,6% of their shares are Chinese)
    * lots of opportunities in Iran (don't think they hold currently, but it might be worthwhile to change that)
    * oil price free fall seems to have stopped (improving market sentiment)

    So - I guess unless we have an unfolding banking crisis (they do hold a number of emerging market banks - in Indonesia, Brasil and Thailand), things should look better from here.

    Discl: not particularly happy, but at least modestly optimistic holder ... thinking about accumulating at these prices

    PS: quarterly report is out: https://www.nzx.com/files/attachments/228778.pdf
    Last edited by BlackPeter; 27-01-2016 at 11:20 AM. Reason: added link to quarterly report
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

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