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16-05-2016, 06:45 PM
#7501
Sometimes I think you do it delibrately
Originally Posted by Snoopy
What you are telling me is part of the picture PT. But no bank would be foolish enough to run their actual loan to equity ratio as low as the minimum reserve bank requirements. Otherwise a customer like young Percy could go into Heartland to withdraw $100 to buy a bunch of flowers for his good wife. But he would be kept waiting until Joe Driver from the coin arcade, puts in the morning coin take to make the balancing $100 deposit required to avoid tipping Heartland into administration!
The question is, what level of buffer over and above the reserve bank requirements do management regard as acceptable? ...
Very droll Snoopy, very droll.
No - what I meant was if you look at the latest half year disclosure statement and beagle 19(j) you will see that they sat on 14.46% (as opposed to the not totally comparable 13.76% a year earlier). They seem to like to hang around that sort of value.
Perhaps for our readers out there we ought to spell out what a couple of the various minimum ratios practically mean.
Whilst the Total Capital Ratio (or TCR) is above 10.5% then from the New Zealand Reserve Bank's perspective it is a case of 'No Worries'.
Should the TCR drop below 10.5% but be above 8.0% then HBL must
"limit the aggregate distributions of the bank’s earnings to the percentage limit to distributions that corresponds to the banking groups buffer ratio"
i.e. reduce dividends etc to a maximum of 60%, 40%, 20% and then 0% of earnings as the 8.0% threshold is approached.
But even below 8.0% TCR HBL is still not a bust but would be required to do some recapitalisation - tout suite (that's French for pronto).
Having said all that if they get anywhere near 10.5% then you will see this Tiger leaving by the nearest exit.
Best Wishes
Paper Tiger
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17-05-2016, 07:48 PM
#7502
Having said all that if they get anywhere near 10.5% then you will see this Tiger leaving by the nearest exit.
... so in the words of another immortal cat that would be "exit stage left" I presume!!
https://youtu.be/Q3-a4qWCtIg
Last edited by malus; 17-05-2016 at 07:53 PM.
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18-05-2016, 07:27 AM
#7503
Originally Posted by percy
So HBL have $64.1mil of "surplus capital" on the books.
I am not surprised,as they said they had "surplus capital."
Yet all the Australian Banks have been raising capital.
Big difference,
I think the reason HBL's balance sheet and equity ratios are so strong is because the directors/management have such large shareholdings.
The "owners" eye" is certainly proved here.
This together with having to report quarterly to The Reserve Bank of NZ ,adds an extra level of security for both depositors/customers and shareholders.
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18-05-2016, 08:34 AM
#7504
Originally Posted by percy
I think the reason HBL's balance sheet and equity ratios are so strong is because the directors/management have such large shareholdings.
The "owners" eye" is certainly proved here.
This together with having to report quarterly to The Reserve Bank of NZ ,adds an extra level of security for both depositors/customers and shareholders.
Good to know especially given dairy farm sale price has fallen 24% in the past year (excluding any Mortg. and forced sales) and that particular process is really yet to start! Still see more financial distress in the wider rural services sector. How much has HBL portfolio in this wider sector??
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18-05-2016, 08:37 AM
#7505
The Heartland Home Equity Release Riddle
Originally Posted by Snoopy
Refer to the interim report of FY2016 for the latest audited Heartland information. Time has rolled on and the total loan portfolio at the latest balance date (31-12-2015) was: $2,928.621m (Interim Statement of Financial Position)
Home equity release loans, which apparently have separate capital requirements total $422.706m (note 18c).
So the loan portfolio, less home equity release loans, was:
$2,928.621m - $422.706m = $2,505.915m
Before I get hauled up by a real accountant for the above....
This home equity release stuff still does my head in. Normally with a loan as a bank customer, the customer/bank timeline goes like this.
1/ You want stuff.
2/ The bank lends you the money to buy the stuff.
3/ You pay the bank their money back + interest with regular payments.
With HER there is a different sequence of events.
1/ You have stuff, but you want money.
2/ You give a promise of stuff (a claim on your house) to the bank, they give you money.
3/ The bank takes your stuff in proportion to the money that you have taken from them, plus interest.
So technically a HER loan is not a loan in customer terms (financial receivable in bank terms). Because as soon as the bank hands you money they simultaneously gain title to an equivalent amount of offsetting stuff.
However, if you look at how the accounts really work, (Note 43, AR2014) you will see that all the money that the 'rich bank' has to give to you, the homeowner, they don't actually have. Heartland are borrowing the home equity release money from another bank. So perversely, both you and Heartland Bank simultaneously become more indebted when you take out a home equity release loan!
Thus, even though my above treatment of a HER loan as an account receivable looks odd, I believe my treatment of HER loans as 'financial receivables' for Heartland is justified. Because Heartland structures their HER loans by borrowing the money from other banks.
SNOOPY
Last edited by Snoopy; 18-05-2016 at 08:56 AM.
Watch out for the most persistent and dangerous version of Covid-19: B.S.24/7
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18-05-2016, 09:09 AM
#7506
https://www.nzx.com/companies/HBL/announcements/282552
Certainly no bad news here...
Onwards and upwards to $1.30+
Last edited by trader_jackson; 18-05-2016 at 09:11 AM.
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18-05-2016, 10:45 AM
#7507
Yes as expected a very sound steady result, with the increased profit to meet guidance.
One test I use to see whether a profit is real or not is to compare the tax a company is paying.No lies there.!
Well HBL's tax paid is up 21% from $12,743,000 to $15,445,000.
Equity ratio.Total assets of $3,389,000 are supported by total equity of $486,004 which is 14,34%
We remain "well positioned'.
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18-05-2016, 12:19 PM
#7508
>> Third Quarter Disclosure Statement out - Heartland Not Bust Yet...
Originally Posted by Snoopy
Before I get hauled up by a real accountant for the above....
This home equity release stuff still does my head in. Normally with a loan as a bank customer, the customer/bank timeline goes like this.
1/ You want stuff.
2/ The bank lends you the money to buy the stuff.
3/ You pay the bank their money back + interest with regular payments.
With HER there is a different sequence of events.
1/ You have stuff, but you want money.
2/ You give a promise of stuff (a claim on your house) to the bank, they give you money.
3/ The bank takes your stuff in proportion to the money that you have taken from them, plus interest.
So technically a HER loan is not a loan in customer terms (financial receivable in bank terms). Because as soon as the bank hands you money they simultaneously gain title to an equivalent amount of offsetting stuff.
However, if you look at how the accounts really work, (Note 43, AR2014) you will see that all the money that the 'rich bank' has to give to you, the homeowner, they don't actually have. Heartland are borrowing the home equity release money from another bank. So perversely, both you and Heartland Bank simultaneously become more indebted when you take out a home equity release loan!
Thus, even though my above treatment of a HER loan as an account receivable looks odd, I believe my treatment of HER loans as 'financial receivables' for Heartland is justified. Because Heartland structures their HER loans by borrowing the money from other banks.
SNOOPY
Snoopy you must read & understand this >> Money Creation in the Real Economy <<
Your two 'different' scenarios are no different on the balance sheet.
Best Wishes
Paper Tiger
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18-05-2016, 08:07 PM
#7509
Drink more milk, eat more cheese, and top your cereal with lots of yoghurt*
Position of Rural (includes Dairy) Loans for last 4 quarters:
Obviously it is not getting better yet.
There is more to the total picture across all sectors (i.e. another $9,284 of individually impaired assets) so read the DS if you are really interested but Rural is currently the 'biggy'.
Best Wishes
Paper Tiger
Consult your doctor as to whether a high dairy diet is good for you.
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19-05-2016, 01:36 PM
#7510
My mate Cam with good news
@ANZ_cambagrie: ANZ consumer confidence eased 4 points in May but remains elevated at 116.2. Expectations of house price growth hit a new high.
Happy consumers / increased wealth effect leads to more consumer borrowing - hope Heartland gets more than its fair share of this
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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