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  1. #1131
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Wasn't comparing hnz to pike Percy ......just comparing the passion of investors in both ...and your response is just the sort of response balances mate at Oxford ( or was it the London school of economics?) loves analysing
    Can't speak for others,however I leave passion and my hearts desires out of my investment decissions.
    Old fashion values, like capable people achieveing what they set out to do, is very much at the forefront of what drives my investments.

  2. #1132
    老外
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    Ha haa, hope you aren't referring to me as an expert! I am a small time investor that's only been in the game 2 years, but had planned to get in on the Xero float but stupidly forgot and paid for my mistake (relatively speaking). As such I still have heaps to learn about how things work! Cheers Xerof

  3. #1133
    On the doghouse
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    Quote Originally Posted by SparkyTheClown View Post

    I will quibble with your PGW comment though. While PGG Wrightson finance was a good asset and one which their shareholders were sad to see go, what came with it was a huge cash crunch that PGW would have to address in order to pay the maturing bond back. I doubt PGW were in any position to issue another bond to cover the debt maturing in 2011, what with its own headaches with Crafar, the failed Silver Fern Farms deal, a crappy economy etc etc etc.
    I am afraid I suffered a memory lapse when I analyzed the Heartland profit. Here is what Heartland said about their rural loans:

    -----

    Rural
    The rural receivables book grew from $478.6m to $480.6m during the Current Reporting Period. NOI was $11.5m, an increase of $3.6m from the Previous Corresponding Reporting Period due to a full six months earnings from the PWF book. The minimal book growth was due to low seasonal demand in livestock trading and a low credit growth environment.

    -----

    But of course, what Heartland failed to mention was that during the year they acquired the PGW Finance loan book, excluding $90.9m of doubtful loans left with PGW.

    $333.911m- $90.9m= $243.0m

    On a true before and after comparative basis, including the PGW Finance Assets acquired during the year, the Heartland press release should have read:

    "The rural receivables book shrunk from $721.6m to $480.6m during the Current Reporting Period."

    So when you combine that with what happened in their other core business areas:
    "The business receivables book contracted from $540.2m to $530.5m during the Current Reporting Period."
    "The retail & consumer receivables book contracted from $954.8m to $945.8m during the Current Reporting Period."

    We can see that total retained core business over the year was:

    ($480.6m+$530.5m+$945.8m)/($721.6m+$540.2m+$954.8m)= 0.88

    In blunt terms the HNZ business contracted by 12% over the last year. Mind you given their capital restraints, it was probably a wise thing to shrink the business down. But let's not let the facts get in the way of a good story. HNZ is not a growth story. It is in fact this country's fastest shrinking bank.

    SNOOPY
    Last edited by Snoopy; 02-03-2013 at 04:30 PM.
    Watch out for the most persistent and dangerous version of Covid-19: B.S.24/7

  4. #1134
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snoopy View Post
    I am afraid I suffered a memory lapse when I analyzed the Heartland profit. .

    SNOOPY
    No surprises there.!!! lol
    Seems to happen everytime you post on this thread.

  5. #1135
    percy
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    SNOOPY;
    A couple of management tips for you;
    1] It's not how many hours you spend working,it's what you do in those hours.
    2[ Lending.It's not how much you lend,but the margin you make on those loans.

  6. #1136
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    SNOOPY;
    A couple of management tips for you;
    1] It's not how many hours you spend working,it's what you do in those hours.
    2[ Lending.It's not how much you lend,but the margin you make on those loans.
    Snoopy ....Percy and jeff keep on taking about this margin ...Percy a lot and jeff says a key value driver

    I have been through a couple of presentations and can't find much about margins ..let alone a rave about them improving. Yes cost of fuds are coming down but maybe, just maybe, they are charging lower interest rates as well

    In your research snoops have you found anything about expanding margins

  7. #1137
    percy
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    In case SNOOPY is still having memory lapses problems,go to the AGM presentation and read where HNZ want to be and new areas they are looking to expand on.Also read where they don't want to go head to head with the major banks.Lower cost of funds is only half of the full picture.
    Also think about of my posts where I have stated HNZ is more like UDC,ie MARAC with a bank licence.
    page 19/34 of agm presentation; 'Our emphasis is on cashflow and drivers of productivity;the generation of real wealth-NOT asset appreciation."
    Last edited by percy; 02-03-2013 at 06:12 PM.

  8. #1138
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Yes I understand all that .....just looking to see the numbers that demonstrate the strategy is on track and working

    Just like having the warm fuzzies what is being said is actually happening if you get the gist ...plenty of charts about all sort of things but nothing that tells me interest margins are trending up

  9. #1139
    percy
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    Never been any "warm fuzzies" with this company.Speak plain English, and deliver what they say they will.
    Last edited by percy; 02-03-2013 at 06:16 PM.

  10. #1140
    Advanced Member robbo24's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snoopy View Post
    $90.9m of doubtful loans left with PGW.

    $333.911m- $90.9m= $243.0m
    "Doubtful" does not mean unenforceable, invalid or a liability.

    Any loan is "doubtful" whether it is secured or not.

    In my opinion Snoopy's analysis is based on the assumptions that:

    (a) All the loans from the PGC books are "doubtful", and;
    (b) All "doubtful" loans are unenforceable, invalid or worthless/a liability.

    Seems like scaremongering to me...
    Last edited by robbo24; 02-03-2013 at 06:43 PM. Reason: spelling

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