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  1. #4841
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paper Tiger View Post
    Histories are always written from a particular view-point usually to prove that particular view-point.

    For the future:
    There is ALWAYS Risk.

    Much of it can be understood and quantified.

    But there is always a possibility of a flock of Black Swans flying by and pooping on you.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger

    Disc: Still like the Risk/Reward ratio for HNZ - but that is just one view-point.
    I read Against the Gods : The Remarkable Story of Risk by Peter Bernstein every now and again

    Great book about risk in general ....from every day living to financial markets.

    http://www.amazon.com/Against-Gods-R...9419948&sr=1-1

  2. #4842
    On the doghouse
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paper Tiger View Post
    The real problem that you had with HNZ was that you did not understand it.
    The real problem that you have with HNZ now is that you do not understand it.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger
    Not claiming to be a banking guru myself PT, never have done. I am surprised you dismiss the credit rating skills of the likes of Fitch and the risk capital requirement assessments of the Reserve Bank so curtly though. If you believe that the BBB- risk assessment of Heartland when it was set up was too harsh (it may have been) I would love to know why.

    SNOOPY
    Watch out for the most persistent and dangerous version of Covid-19: B.S.24/7

  3. #4843
    Senior Member Marilyn Munroe's Avatar
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    Seeing as we currently in a historical thoughful mood my guess is the primary motivation for the merger was the need to hide the MARAC mess beneath the skirts of the CBS Canterbury balance sheet.

    And the update of this; They got away with it.

    Boop boop de do
    Marilyn

  4. #4844
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Marilyn Munroe View Post
    Seeing as we currently in a historical thoughful mood my guess is the primary motivation for the merger was the need to hide the MARAC mess beneath the skirts of the CBS Canterbury balance sheet.

    And the update of this; They got away with it.

    Boop boop de do
    Marilyn
    The out come of the mergers and the recapitalization has provided all shareholders with a Bank to be proud of.
    Nothing was ever hidden.Shareholders were told what was needed,and where the directors saw the company's future as a bank was.
    Those who put the merger together had great foresight.
    Capable people with vision.
    Last edited by percy; 20-04-2015 at 12:17 PM.

  5. #4845
    Senior Member kizame's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    The out come of the mergers and the recapitalization has provided all shareholders with a Bank to be proud of.
    Nothing was ever hidden.Shareholders were told what was needed,and where the directors saw the company's future as a bank was.
    Those who put the merger together had great foresight.
    Capable people with vision.
    I can't quite work out whether you are a guard dog,guarding your property, or a knight coming to the rescue of your kings' reputation.
    But beware,eventually the black knight cometh.

  6. #4846
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    The out come of the mergers and the recapitalization has provided all shareholders with a Bank to be proud of.
    Nothing was ever hidden.Shareholders were told what was needed,and where the directors saw the company's future as a bank was.
    Those who put the merger together had great foresight.
    Capable people with vision.
    Well said mate. Perhaps those casting dispersions would care to list the stocks they believe are trading with better fundamentals and a better risk reward profile.
    No stock is completely risk free or completly without blemish.
    Last edited by Beagle; 20-04-2015 at 12:29 PM.

  7. #4847
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by kizame View Post
    I can't quite work out whether you are a guard dog,guarding your property, or a knight coming to the rescue of your kings' reputation.
    But beware,eventually the black knight cometh.
    I originally started posting on this thread as I thought people were posting factually wrong statements and misrepresenting the truth.
    Some people continue to post misinformation ,which I and others correct.

  8. #4848
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    Thumbs down Bit of a worry

    Quote Originally Posted by kizame View Post
    I can't quite work out whether you are a guard dog,guarding your property, or a knight coming to the rescue of your kings' reputation.
    But beware,eventually the black knight cometh.


    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger
    om mani peme hum

  9. #4849
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    Thumbs down More of a worry

    Quote Originally Posted by Snoopy View Post
    Not claiming to be a banking guru myself PT, never have done. I am surprised you dismiss the credit rating skills of the likes of Fitch and the risk capital requirement assessments of the Reserve Bank so curtly though. If you believe that the BBB- risk assessment of Heartland when it was set up was too harsh (it may have been) I would love to know why.

    SNOOPY
    It is not the skills of Fitch or the assessments of the Reserve Bank that I have questioned.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger
    om mani peme hum

  10. #4850
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Good one vorno

    However the average day over the last 50 has been slightly negative .... Friday is an outlier

    Reversion to the mean next week and price back to 130 or less
    OMG, reversion to the mean works

    Not enough liquidity to do the other suggestion you make vorno

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