-
28-07-2015, 10:55 AM
#5661
Originally Posted by couta1
You love your squiggly lines aye winner I lost view of some of mine as they headed below the chart axis on certain stocks
That's sad couta
Lesson ....always use charts where 0 (zilch) is on the axis
That way you know how much to go
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
-
28-07-2015, 11:01 AM
#5662
Member
It's broken my 1MA line.
Still kicking myself not to drink and buy downtrending stocks.
Will keep topping up @$1.10, $1.05, $1.00, and $0.90 (next month)
-
28-07-2015, 11:24 AM
#5663
Originally Posted by neyney2010
It's broken my 1MA line.
Still kicking myself not to drink and buy downtrending stocks.
Will keep topping up @$1.10, $1.05, $1.00, and $0.90 (next month)
Hmmm..If you are so convinced HNZ is in a downtrend (which it is) and will reach $0.90, why not just wait until they're $0.90 then top up
Last edited by Hoop; 28-07-2015 at 11:53 AM.
-
28-07-2015, 11:25 AM
#5664
Originally Posted by Hoop
Hmmm..If you are so convinced HNZ is in a downtrend and will reach $0.90, why not just wait until they're $0.90 then top up
More profitable to sell NOW and then buy at 90 cents
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
-
28-07-2015, 11:34 AM
#5665
Originally Posted by winner69
Broken below the 250MA line
No worries holding above the 300MA line though
The 500MA is about 102 so a bit of a way to go yet to worry
Technical analysis is one thing and I absolutely agree that a clear break of the 200 day MA should be serious cause for concern as a separate issue all of itself but for my money I always use TA in combination with fundamental analysis and most of you will be well aware I have voiced my concerns on several occasions regarding the veracity of some of the new products and lending methodologies than HNZ have recently introduced, (I finance, harmony loans, lending on no / low deposit on Holdens to name the main three).
That HNZ appear to be targeting the unsecured consumer market and dairy as two key areas for growth as stated in their half year report released earlier this year, is something I have found profoundly concerning and lead to my exit from the stock in tandem with my concerns surrounding the extremely serious collapse of the dairy price. Given my concerns regarding new product roll-out and Harmoney's initial losses, Is it a coincidence that the director in charge of new product development has now resigned / was pushed ?...perhaps my concerns have / are echoed in the boardroom ?...you decide for yourselves.
For my money if I want to invest in a finance company targeting unsecured loans, (I don't), that's what I'd do and if I want to invest in a quality bank with conservative lending policies, (I do but are there any left ?), that's what I'd do. HNZ is a hybrid of both and in my view will inevitably suffer the inherent consequences of a cooling economy with substantial labour force redundancies affecting its unsecured and poorly secured loans as well as specific losses attributable to especially problematic area's like dairy / sharemilking, as will the other banks for that matter. There is simply no plausible way sharemilkers in particular can meet their loan obligations with the dairy pay-out starting with a 3 handle, (that's where I see it going) in FY16.
To their credit the BNZ are running survivability workshops, (there's some other name for them I forget), teaching dairy farmers how to survive this crisis...I can't help wonder how proactive HNZ are in working with their dairy customers...maybe someone should contact the company and get some comfort for other shareholders around how they're managing the dairy issue ?
Last edited by Beagle; 28-07-2015 at 11:40 AM.
-
28-07-2015, 11:35 AM
#5666
Member
Originally Posted by Hoop
Hmmm..If you are so convinced HNZ is in a downtrend and will reach $0.90, why not just wait until they're $0.90 then top up
Hoop, are you saying I'm not being logical with my thinking whilst drinking ?
-
28-07-2015, 11:48 AM
#5667
Where's our good friend percy these days..haven't seen much posts from in past few days...
-
28-07-2015, 11:51 AM
#5668
Originally Posted by winner69
Just done the sums and if if sell 30% of what I have left the rest will be FREE
Won't need to worry about 300MA and 500MA lines then
sell 31% and that's the next few years short blacks as well.....
-
28-07-2015, 11:56 AM
#5669
Originally Posted by neyney2010
Hoop, are you saying I'm not being logical with my thinking whilst drinking ?
"....wait until they're $0.90 then top up." I mean't your glass
-
28-07-2015, 12:09 PM
#5670
Tags for this Thread
Posting Permissions
- You may not post new threads
- You may not post replies
- You may not post attachments
- You may not edit your posts
-
Forum Rules
|
|
Bookmarks