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  1. #6771
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paper Tiger View Post
    So which banks?

    Provide verifiable figures for at least two of them.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger
    Paper Tiger grumpy? - well, just being Paper Tiger again I suppose

    In return for yesterdays comment about winner69 - couldn't resist
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #6772
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    BNZ reported this a month or so ago

    The bank's charge to provide for bad and doubtful debts surged $42 million, or 91.3%, to $88 million. The rise was attributed to an increase in collective provision charges, mainly due to the outlook for the dairy industry.

    http://www.interest.co.nz/business/7...-rise-expenses
    Yeah that's part of what I was referring too, thanks for posting mate. Here's another article that quite explicitly expresses the forward view that loan provisioning is in for a huge increase if dairy stays low
    http://www.interest.co.nz/rural-news...xtended-period
    Those obsessed with life in the rear view mirror and who accept recent loan provisioning at face value can't see a problem whereas those who spend time trying to look around the corner ahead see trouble coming...two different perspectives. No telling people looking backwards they need to change their point of view I suppose... Must be that auditor training, like a beagle at the airport sniffing out problems ahead, (with apologies to Snoopy)
    Last edited by Beagle; 01-12-2015 at 09:50 PM.

  3. #6773
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    Quote Originally Posted by Roger View Post
    Yeah that's part of what I was referring too, thanks for posting mate. Here's another article that quite explicitly expresses the forward view that loan provisioning is in for a huge increase if dairy stays low
    http://www.interest.co.nz/rural-news...xtended-period
    Those obsessed with life in the rear view mirror and who accept recent loan provisioning at face value can't see a problem whereas those who spend time trying to look around the corner ahead see trouble coming...two different perspectives. No telling people looking backwards they need to change their point of view I suppose... Must be that auditor training, like a beagle at the airport sniffing out problems ahead, (with apologies to Snoopy)
    I think Heartland have had a good look at the loans and made the right provisioning .
    Dairy on the up , all good ....
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11553380

  4. #6774
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Default ANZ seem concerned

    http://www.interest.co.nz/rural-news...-enough-enable

    Maybe not enough to enable Fonterra to meet its $4.60 forecast and that's still well adrift of the mid five dollar range experts seem to agree is what's necessary for farmers to break even.

    How many more years can banks keep supporting loss making dairy farmers by lending them more and more money to stay afloat ? (Good question to ask your directors at the forthcoming annual meeting).
    Last edited by Beagle; 02-12-2015 at 09:04 AM.

  5. #6775
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    Quote Originally Posted by Roger View Post
    http://www.interest.co.nz/rural-news...-enough-enable

    Maybe not enough to enable Fonterra to meet its $4.60 forecast and that's still well adrift of the mid five dollar range experts seem to agree is what's necessary for farmers to break even.

    How many more years can banks keep supporting loss making dairy farmers by lending them more and more money to stay afloat ? (Good question to ask your directors at the forthcoming annual meeting).
    That guy flip flops a lot , just remember they invented economists to make weather forecasters look good.

    http://www.interest.co.nz/rural-news...5-less-urgency

  6. #6776
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Paper Tiger the other day
    Interestingly 90+ day overdue loans on rural as gone from $17,904K to $11,704 in the last three months, possibly as a result of some/many them being reclassified given that Heartland are supporting dairy in these difficult times.
    Ah so - I get it know

    You take an overdue/problem loan and repackage it up as something new under the guise of support - it becomes a 'new loan' so no longer overdue (even though the borrower still owes heaps)

    Tricky
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #6777
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by stoploss View Post
    That guy flip flops a lot , just remember they invented economists to make weather forecasters look good.

    http://www.interest.co.nz/rural-news...5-less-urgency
    To be fair that was some time back after four successive GDT gains and many were starting to feel more optimistic. Reality has bitten since and we are still far short of what's required for farmers to break even.

    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Ah so - I get it now

    You take an overdue/problem loan and repackage it up as something new under the guise of support - it becomes a 'new loan' so no longer overdue (even though the borrower still owes heaps)

    Tricky
    I'm sure you know finance companies and banks have been using this creative accounting method since Adam was a boy and its most especially useful during harsh times like the recent GFC. Good of you to point out to others though and as you know this earns them nice fat refinancing and admin fees too so makes the books look better in more ways than one...until such time as they can't repay their loan that is. Harmoney clip the ticket for (IIRC), a hefty 6% fee on their refinancing, perhaps something of a conflict of interest with investors looking for easier loan admin and loans running their full term ?
    Last edited by Beagle; 02-12-2015 at 09:40 AM.

  8. #6778
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    Ben Russell C.E.O of Rabobank to join HEARTLAND according to Interest .co.nz.Head of Rural Banking
    Last edited by beetills; 02-12-2015 at 05:38 PM.

  9. #6779
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  10. #6780
    percy
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    Heartland seem to be able to attract top talent.
    Not just talented investors.!!!!.lol.

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