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  1. #7181
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paper Tiger View Post
    Dairy prices up = Heartland up - You know how some people think.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger
    Maybe ... but just check out how the big banks took off today: ANZ up 4.5%, the others around 3% similar to HBL . Sure this is just the milk?
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  2. #7182
    Guru
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    Quote Originally Posted by nextbigthing View Post
    Yes! $1.60 by Christmas is the word on the street.
    Just like last Christmas, right?

  3. #7183
    The Wolf of Sharetrader
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    Quote Originally Posted by trader_jackson View Post
    Just like last Christmas, right?
    Correct

    But Grimy does raise a good point;

    Quote Originally Posted by Grimy View Post
    Be very careful of word on the street.........
    He/she is right. It could be over $1.60, more like $1.80+. Don't forget to prepare for this possibility, be careful

  4. #7184
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    I always get the $1.11 and the $1.32 mixed up. Pease forgive me - the price is so up and down.

    Probably be $1.32 again ......just like last year
    You are forgiven W69

    This is why I like the drip and want the share price to stay low ��:
    5/4/16. $1.198 (3.5 CPS)
    29/9/15. $1.11 (4.5CPS)
    27/3/15. $1.32 (3.0 CPS)
    29/9/14. $1.015 (3.5 CPS)
    20/3/14. $0.8606 (2.5 CPS)
    1/10/13. $0.826 (2.5 CPS)

    The magic of compounding ��������
    Last edited by SCOTTY; 30-03-2016 at 05:15 PM. Reason: Update
    SCOTTY

  5. #7185
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    Quote Originally Posted by SCOTTY View Post
    You are forgiven W69

    This is why I like the drip and want the share price to stay low ��:

    29/9/15. $1.11 ( 4.5 CPS)
    27/3/15. $1.32 ( 3.0 CPS)
    29/9/14. $1.015 ( 3.5 CPS)
    20/3/14. $0.8606 (2.5 CPS)
    1/10/13. $0.826 (2.5 CPS)

    The magic of compounding ��������
    The magic of compounding with an increasing dividend

  6. #7186
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    Quote Originally Posted by axe View Post
    The magic of compounding with an increasing dividend
    Thanks axe
    SCOTTY

  7. #7187
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Westpac nz worried about stressed rural loans. Aren't we lucky that heartland have avoided such impending turmoil by their prudent approach

    From sharechat.co.nz

    Westpac’s New Zealand business has seen an increase in “stressed” loans amid a weakening of the country’s agricultural sector, which is highly exposed to the global crash in dairy prices.

    Westpac said today its New Zealand arm, which accounts for 11 per cent of the bank’s total cash earnings, saw an increase in stressed lending in its agricultural loan portfolio over the three months through December, rising to 4.2 per cent of lending, up from 3.9 per cent in the September quarter.

    Although the percentage of impaired loans held steady at 0.34 over the quarter, Westpac said low dairy payouts were causing a rise in stressed loans. Agricultural loans make up nearly 8 per cent of the NZ arm’s portfolio, with dairy accounting for around 70 per cent of the $NZ8 billion agricultural loan book.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #7188
    Senior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Westpac nz worried about stressed rural loans. Aren't we lucky that heartland have avoided such impending turmoil by their prudent approach

    From sharechat.co.nz

    Westpac’s New Zealand business has seen an increase in “stressed” loans amid a weakening of the country’s agricultural sector, which is highly exposed to the global crash in dairy prices.

    Westpac said today its New Zealand arm, which accounts for 11 per cent of the bank’s total cash earnings, saw an increase in stressed lending in its agricultural loan portfolio over the three months through December, rising to 4.2 per cent of lending, up from 3.9 per cent in the September quarter.

    Although the percentage of impaired loans held steady at 0.34 over the quarter, Westpac said low dairy payouts were causing a rise in stressed loans. Agricultural loans make up nearly 8 per cent of the NZ arm’s portfolio, with dairy accounting for around 70 per cent of the $NZ8 billion agricultural loan book.
    Sweet, simply excellent

  9. #7189
    Reincarnated Panthera Snow Leopard's Avatar
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    Thumbs up Recategorize the problem

    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Westpac nz worried about stressed rural loans. Aren't we lucky that heartland have avoided such impending turmoil by their prudent approach

    From sharechat.co.nz

    Westpac’s New Zealand business has seen an increase in “stressed” loans amid a weakening of the country’s agricultural sector, which is highly exposed to the global crash in dairy prices.

    Westpac said today its New Zealand arm, which accounts for 11 per cent of the bank’s total cash earnings, saw an increase in stressed lending in its agricultural loan portfolio over the three months through December, rising to 4.2 per cent of lending, up from 3.9 per cent in the September quarter.

    Although the percentage of impaired loans held steady at 0.34 over the quarter, Westpac said low dairy payouts were causing a rise in stressed loans. Agricultural loans make up nearly 8 per cent of the NZ arm’s portfolio, with dairy accounting for around 70 per cent of the $NZ8 billion agricultural loan book.
    Couple of items:

    Firstly --
    You can see why the Reserve Bank does not worry about Heartland going phut:
    Westpac has a dairy loan size of about portfolio of $5.5B;
    Heartland has a TOTAL loan size of $2.9B.
    [Important Note: I sincerely hope that the Heartland does not go phut.]

    Lastly --
    Any idea how Westpac defines stressed?

    Here is all the Heartland Rural loans past due or impaired at end of Jun & Dec:
    ($ are thousands; big numbers at bottom: total rural loans)



    As you can see they shuffled a lot of the 90+ loans over to [individually] impaired (which essentially means there are keeping a closer eye on them).
    Outside of that there is little change and so far, actual provision for impairment is still insignificant.

    Best Wishes
    Paper Tiger
    Last edited by Snow Leopard; 08-03-2016 at 11:50 PM. Reason: put some small text in
    om mani peme hum

  10. #7190
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    http://a.msn.com/r/2/AAgxhkS?a=0&m=en-nz

    HBL wise not to foreclose on anyone. Little birdie told me the other day after talking to a leading farm broker they had "Listings for Africa" and anyone interested in buying could basically name their own terms.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

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