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  1. #12931
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    Same could be said for directors who hold no shares.
    I much prefer "the owner's eye".
    I am with you on this one Percy. Like some skin in the game as well as competence

  2. #12932
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    If you want to see what Aussie bankers do for their money, read "A Wunch of Bankers" by Daniel Ziffer.

  3. #12933
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    So - how good are the forecasts of our stockmarket analysts?
    Here is the overview of my wee researchtask:
    https://www.sharetrader.co.nz/showth...arket-analysts

    Looking today at

    Stock: HGH
    Prediction month: January 2019
    Forecast month: January 2020

    Share price (peak) in January 2019 $1.43
    Consensus forecast for January 2020 $1.58
    actual shareprice (peak) in January 2020 $1.87 Share price did rise, as predicted, but instead of the predicted 10.5% it actually did rise by 30.8%; according to the rules this is a failed prediction, which might be a bit harsh. Need to think about this
    consensus recommendation in January 2019 outperform (6,25/10)
    actual 12 month growth vs NZX50 outperformed NZX50 by 10% PREDICTION PASS

    Rating of the analysts so far:

    6 stocks checked (checking for each consensus and buy recommendation);
    Consensus shareprice forecasts correct: 1/6; analyst hitrate: 17%
    Consensus recommendation vs NZX50 correct: 2/6; analyst hitrate: 33%
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  4. #12934
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    Half yearly report out tomorrow. Thoughts? Predictions? Expectations?

  5. #12935
    An Awesome Cool Cat winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by justakiwi View Post
    Half yearly report out tomorrow. Thoughts? Predictions? Expectations?
    Solid half year and reconfirmation of full year NPAT $77m to $80m

    They always do what they say they will do.
    “Just consider that maybe the probability of you being wrong is higher than you think.”

  6. #12936
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by justakiwi View Post
    Half yearly report out tomorrow. Thoughts? Predictions? Expectations?
    The good....Solid increases in O4B and RELs.Further reduction in big loans [ rural and business].
    The not so good....Increase spend on systems and other compliance overheads.No increase in divie.
    Last edited by percy; 17-02-2020 at 06:56 PM.

  7. #12937
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Expecting a modest increase in profit and no change in dividend.
    No butts, hold no mutts, (unless they're the furry variety).

  8. #12938
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    the question is UDC

  9. #12939
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    Nice policy change with REL's where you can equity release on investment properties. I think this is very astute

  10. #12940
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by horus1 View Post
    the question is UDC
    Certain is.
    However I doubt we will receive the answer tomorrow.

  11. #12941
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by dabsman View Post
    Nice policy change with REL's where you can equity release on investment properties. I think this is very astute
    Not going to happen.

  12. #12942
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    Not going to happen.
    Just saw a release today about it. I'll try and track it down

  13. #12943
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by dabsman View Post
    Just saw a release today about it. I'll try and track it down
    Would appreciate it if you could.

  14. #12944
    An Awesome Cool Cat winner69's Avatar
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    Announcement day ...but be patient as bankers aren’t early starters
    Last edited by winner69; 18-02-2020 at 08:38 AM.
    “Just consider that maybe the probability of you being wrong is higher than you think.”

  15. #12945
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    Quote Originally Posted by dabsman View Post
    Nice policy change with REL's where you can equity release on investment properties. I think this is very astute
    Would that be a big market at present? Wouldn't it be best just to sell the property. I could see a point for equity release on a treasured bach/crib.

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