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  1. #241
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by slimwin View Post
    I'm only using the directbroking chart which has a 180 MA and it's broken that about 5 times in the last 3 years only to go onto drop. On that note how accurate are the DB charts? They're often at variance to ASB charts.
    The Yahoo charts have 200 day MA but appear to be a few days old,while stocknessmonster chart has 180 day MA,so that is why my post had poised.What we need to confirm a change of trend is for the SP to stay above the 200day MA and for that MA to move up.
    Hopefully Hoop my post us a good chart and commentary.I would not be buying or selling until the result was out.
    I continue to hold in the meantime.
    Last edited by percy; 11-05-2012 at 02:01 PM.

  2. #242
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by snapiti View Post
    What a steller result, a well managed company making good progress in difficult time's
    Yes, a cracker result and I was very pleased at the positive outlook,with new products yet to come on stream .

  3. #243
    Share Collector
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    I thought result looked as expected. Company makes good sales progress, but still looks relatively expensive.

    Perhaps if there was a serious prospect of the NZD returning towards 0.60 against the USD in the short-medium term, I would find the report more riveting reading.

  4. #244
    IMO
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    NZX showing a 7.07% div yield is that right? Next years profit and ebitda estuary(estimate) similar. Suppose(he says gloomily) it could be a defensive place to twiddle.Mkt expecting more maybe,s/p down a tad.
    Last edited by Joshuatree; 25-05-2012 at 10:19 AM. Reason: sp

  5. #245
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    JT - The gross yield of FPH = 12.4c FY dividend / 230c current price / 0.72 = 7.4%

    PE = $2.30 / ($64.1m/530.1m shares) = 19.0x
    EV/EBITDA = ($2.30 x 530.1m + $109m net debt) / $115.4m EBTIDA = 11.5x

  6. #246
    Share Collector
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    Dividend yield is a bit deceptive as not currently covered out of cash-flow, so relies on DRP uptake (dilution) and, perhaps to a small degree, on borrowing to maintain. But it is probably supporting the share price.

  7. #247
    IMO
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    Thanks catalyst. The smell of freshly ground coffee coming your way.

  8. #248
    percy
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    a ratio I find handy is PEG .Add divie to it makes more sense too.
    PE 19,growth 23%, divie 7.4., so 19/30.7[23+7.4] =6.18 which is very modest,so good value at present.

  9. #249
    IMO
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    Thanks Percy ,sending you alphabet soup (with additional star signs and trig symbols) pssst i have analysis allergy.

  10. #250
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    Percy - that's a bit cheeky using the growth rate from the "constant currency" calculations and the NPAT from the actuals... best-of-all-worlds analysis :P

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