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  1. #2931
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Morningstar guy quote - “But Ponraj now thinks it has been oversold and trading at a discount for long-term investors – he values it at $24 per share which is more bullish than many other analysts covering the stock.”

    Morningstar usually pretty good with their valuations

    Well done Morningstar ….go go FPH

    But Ponraj now thinks it has been oversold and trading at a discount for long-term investors – he values it at $24 per share which is more bullish than many other analysts covering the stock.

    Prob paywalled
    Morningstar values EBO at $ 30 ....

  2. #2932
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by alokdhir View Post
    Morningstar values EBO at $ 30 ....
    Maybe $30 for EBO is about right for a low margin business with only a 10% ROE
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  3. #2933
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Tale of two high flying businesses

    Company A had huge sales growth and sales peaked in June 2020. Sales decline appears to have bottomed out after 3 quarters but 30% less than their peak

    Company B also had huge sales growth and sales peaked in September 2020. Sales are forecast to bottom out after 4 quarters (September 2022) and also about 30% less than their peak

    Both companies mention margin pressures

    Company A's share is down about 70% from its peak while Company B's share price is currently down 45% from its peak

    Company B still has to report further decline in sales - maybe its share price might fall further .... maybe to 70% less than its peak

    Maybe not because its margin problem doesn't seem to be as bad as Company A experienced
    Last edited by winner69; 07-06-2022 at 12:38 PM.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  4. #2934
    Guru Rawz's Avatar
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    The old ATM vs FPH comparison again? lol

  5. #2935
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Tale of two high flying businesses

    Company A had huge sales growth and sales peaked in June 2020. Sales decline appears to have bottomed out after 3 quarters but 30% less than their peak

    Company B also had huge sales growth and sales peaked in September 2020. Sales are forecast to bottom out after 4 quarters (September 2022) and also about 30% less than their peak

    Both companies mention margin pressures

    Company A's share is down about 70% from its peak while Company B's share price is currently down 45% from its peak

    Company B still has to report further decline in sales - maybe its share price might fall further .... maybe to 70% less than its peak

    Maybe not because its margin problem doesn't seem to be as bad as Company A experienced
    Well, yes ... but isn't your Company A a one trick pony which did neither understand nor manage the sales channel to supply their biggest customer with product? The result was sort of predictable.

    How can you compare this bunch of inepts with the fine management team at FPH?
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  6. #2936
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rawz View Post
    The old ATM vs FPH comparison again? lol
    Yeah load of Bollocks, comparing a one trick pony to a finger in every pie company doesn't stack up. Lol BP we must have both had the one trick pony in our minds at exactly the same time.
    Last edited by couta1; 07-06-2022 at 12:52 PM.

  7. #2937
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    So over the last year or so a 'bunch of inepts' as well a 'fine management team' have been in charge of a 30% decline in sales .......... and seen their share prices tumble with zillions of share holder wealth gone
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #2938
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    So over the last year or so a 'bunch of inepts' as well a 'fine management team' have been in charge of a 30% decline in sales .......... and seen their share prices tumble with zillions of share holder wealth gone
    FPH sales still up from pre Covid levels but not the milky one.

  9. #2939
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    In spite of rout on Wall St Friday night could be an UP day for FPH today

    Resmed went up in US .... didn't join in the rout

    ASX closed today so no leads from them

    Just the meek NZ investors left .... probably they'll buy.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #2940
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    ResMed make a $1.45 billion acquisition

    Interesting how much SaaS stuff they do - Maybe Resmed valued as a SaaS company ..... like why they have a high PE

    https://www.businessnewsaustralia.co...ebd3bf4ce1f3a6
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

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