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  1. #1001
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Another record result

    Well done FPH

    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...359/291205.pdf
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #1002
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    its solid, but hardly inspiring for a stratospheric PE - somewhere in the 40's !!! according to ANZ details.
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  3. #1003
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    Gotta accept greater fool risk if you want to buy a piece of this great company.

    No chance to ever make money on dividends at that pe.

    Therefore buying into fph is a bet that the pe will always be astronomical.

    Shame really.

    He ate two strategies I've used to buy fph:

    1. A while ago I bought some of these then sold down after the price increased to reduce my average buy price.

    2. Ive also bought a small parcel so the risk of pe drop doesn't bother me.

    Both strategies are arguably flawed, as they start to get into increasing psychology. On both points i was left with some shares that were priced to sell and had no way to earn a decent dividend rate for the amount of money the shares were worth.

    In the end, after all my trading, im left with just a small parcel that i hold simply because i like the company and don't mind writing off that cash. The only strategy i will use to buy fph in future is buying significant dips, and possibly option 1 again if i find myself in a position to see significant tailwinds that i don't think the market has noticed.

    Hey, maybe after 10 years my small parcel will be worth something, and i can sell up to buy something that will give me a little income.

    Perhaps a good stock if you want to leave an inheritance for someone?

    Notably a bad result could easily half the value of this stock, dropping that high pe.

  4. #1004
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    Been a great investment stock for me , my entry av $3.02, have sold some over the years but it usually kept going up after. I may possibly sell some more to build some cash if things really start to look grim bear wise globally but its been a great long term premium investment grade story. The penny finally dropped and i invested in competitor RMD Resmed later, at average A$6.65. Very similar 10 year charts with incredibly similar gains.

  5. #1005
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    If you bought 5 years ago at $3.5 (right at the start of the stella growth) you'd be getting a dividend of about 5.5% on your initial investment. You'd also have stock in a very good growth company.

    I guess if the growth continues at that rate, it's a good investment!

    I wonder what a dividend return chat would look like against a company that constantly spits out a higher div, like nzx.hlg?

    As a long term investment (assuming you never sell)... How many years before you'd get a total dividend return from fph greater than hlg?

    Growth vs high div

  6. #1006
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    Half-year results look pretty good with 20% increase in net profit after tax.

    https://www.nzx.com/announcements/327359

  7. #1007
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    Speaks for itself doesn't it?Who would have suggested FPH outperformed by EBOS though.Can EBOS continue to grow at this rate by acquisition.Have they got the future management in place to facilitate?
    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/best-of-b...+December+2018
    Compared to infratil which is similar returns and in my view the right ethos and succession in place
    https://infratil.com/for-investors/
    Last edited by kiora; 02-12-2018 at 08:17 AM.

  8. #1008
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    Interestingly GS downgraded FPH to SELL this morning

  9. #1009
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    Quote Originally Posted by kiora View Post
    Speaks for itself doesn't it?Who would have suggested FPH outperformed by EBOS though.Can EBOS continue to grow at this rate by acquisition.Have they got the future management in place to facilitate?
    https://www.nzherald.co.nz/best-of-b...+December+2018
    Compared to infratil which is similar returns and in my view the right ethos and succession in place
    https://infratil.com/for-investors/
    All three are worth a place in my portfolio!


  10. #1010
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    Quote Originally Posted by dreamcatcher View Post
    Interestingly GS downgraded FPH to SELL this morning
    FWIW Craigs on 27th Nov maintain HOLD but Target price (one year) trimmed 4%.

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