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  1. #91
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    Quote Originally Posted by MAC View Post
    I think they'll get there too. I've been following the CRPOB (70c options) market also, this week the sellers have totally gone and the stack is clear, but until recently you could pick up these options (post marine consent expiry) for 3c, another way of balancing the binary nature of the risk.
    I do not think that the sellers going means anything. Have you seen how many of these options there are? Only 2.2 million in total. Total capitalization at $111,000. Just very illiquid so any price movement in these options is not at all meaningful.

  2. #92
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    One thing about phosphate, it's an important nutrient for bioalgae. If the world moves to this as a replacement for fossil fuels, they'll need lots of phosphate, and some other nutrients besides. But whether it's in such short supply for current farming and future carbon neutral fuels that a whole new industry has to be designed to pull it off a deep ocean shelf, mining it for just three days in twelve - I'm not sure.

  3. #93
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    Quote Originally Posted by MAC View Post
    Yes, I think so too, CRP guidance is for a mining permit announcement in "September/October" so not long now. It's a binary outcome, I'm happy to hold actually, might even top up a little at 26cents.
    Well, they've got tomorrow...

    Just about run out of patience on this one.

  4. #94
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    The NZIER draft report (September 2012) on the Economic impact of Chatham Rock Phosphate.

    http://nzier.org.nz/sites/nzier.org....0of%20CRP..pdf

    My understanding was that CRP had increased the mining permit application from 25M tonnes to 35M tonnes, but I do like the recognition of prospective $300M pa in revenues for 16 years, if it does go up to 35M tonnes all the better.

  5. #95
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    And phosphate prices bite the dust again.

    Those that are in this should seriously build a dcf and see what value comes out with a Phophate price of USD $120.60, down another 5% last month. You'll be in for a serious shock!

    http://siteresources.worldbank.org/I...9/Pnk_1113.pdf

  6. #96
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    S/HOLDER: CRP: Chatham Rock Phosphate Shareholder Update
    CRP
    06/11/2013 13:57
    S/HOLDER

    REL: 1357 HRS Chatham Rock Phosphate Limited

    S/HOLDER: CRP: Chatham Rock Phosphate Shareholder Update

    Shareholder Update
    NOVEMBER 2013

    A number of shareholders have been asking for progress updates on our
    activities so here's a summary of what we've been up to.

    The Permitting Process

    The short answer is we're making headway towards gaining our Mining Licence.
    Over the past four months, since we withdrew our Marine Consent application,
    our primary focus has been on acquiring our Mining Licence.

    The process is taking longer and proving more complex than we and NZ
    Petroleum and Minerals anticipated. You will recall we received a letter
    from NZP&M in April indicating it hoped to deal with the licence quickly.

    In the intervening time we have supplied at least six supplementary documents
    following requests for further information, and have met with representatives
    of NZP&M each week in order to satisfy bureaucratic requirements.

    After a long, complex and at times very frustrating exercise we believe the
    final few outstanding issues are close to being resolved.

    It is fair to point out that the process has not been helped by our
    application being the first of this type under the new Crown Minerals Act.
    NZP&M has been determined to demonstrate a robust assessment process, an
    intent we support, but at times that determination has caused the process to
    drag on to no-one's benefit.

    At this stage all we can say is watch this space, we are confident of a
    positive outcome in the near term.

    Finance updates

    I continue to talk to mainly international investors interested in investing
    in our project. During a recent trip to Los Angeles I met with three groups
    of financial intermediaries and high net-worth individuals.

    Once we receive our Mining Licence I am confident we will attract further
    capital to finance our Marine Consent application process.

    Consultation

    We have an ongoing programme of talking to stakeholder groups to keep them
    informed about progress on the project. We received an invitation from
    Labour MP and environment spokesperson Moana Mackey to provide an update. We
    had presented to her and other MPs about a year ago.

    The latest session, attended by five Labour MPs and also Forest and Bird's
    Kevin Hackwell, was extremely useful in teasing out key areas of interest.
    The focus of their questions was primarily on potential impacts on fishing,
    what other impacts water column and seabed sediments would have and the
    relevance of the Benthic Protection Areas to our project. The latter
    followed an unsuccessful attempt by Green MP Gareth Hughes to have BPAs cover
    mining as well as fishing activity.

    We will also be presenting to public and iwi/imi groups on the Chatham
    Islands later in November.

    Environmental Impact Assessment

    In preparation for submitting our Environmental Impact Assessment as part of
    the Marine Consent application, the team continues to refine our
    documentation. We have received feedback from a variety of sources that has
    enabled us to continue to improve the information we will present.

    This includes being able to anticipate as accurately as possible potential
    areas of concern and to provide data to address them, or to identify possible
    mitigation or monitoring ideas.

    While the delays related to the Mining Licence have been expensive in both
    time and money terms, it has enabled us to ensure the EIA is thoroughly
    supported by scientific analysis and builds in feedback from extensive
    consultation with interested parties.

    Conferences

    We continue to receive opportunities to promote our project at conferences.
    We've found they are a particularly successful way of talking to stakeholders
    - and there are often possible investors in the audience, which is a bonus!

    We've attended the Underwater Mining Industry conferences for the past three
    years. The first was at Gelendzhik on the Russian Black Sea (which took me
    50 hours to get to). I made valuable connections with the large dredging
    companies and also met Robert Goodden, who became one of our expert advisers
    and latterly a director.

    This year's conference was held in Rio De Janeiro and we continued to receive
    strong interest in our project from all the major international dredging
    companies and others involved in the marine mining industry.

    Earlier in October Chair Linda Sanders and I presented an overview of the
    project to the New Zealand Institute
    of Chartered Accountants conference in Auckland.

    Judging by the feedback received after our address the
    delegates were impressed with what we have achieved so far as a company and
    found our "story" a compelling one.

    Chief Operating Officer Ray Wood spoke at a New
    Zealand Mining Summit in October, organised by NZP&M and Straterra to
    showcase New Zealand's mineral prospectivity. We were one of five companies
    presenting to an audience that included a number of potential Chinese
    investors.

    Environmental questions

    As a parallel activity, primarily arising from the inaccurate claims made by
    some Deep Water Group members, we have developed answers to potential
    questions often asked about environmental issues related to our project.

    The questions and answers are now on our website see -
    http://www.rockphosphate.co.nz/news/...estions-answer
    ed-fact-sheet

    Chris Castle
    Managing Director
    End CA:00243424 For:CRP Type:S/HOLDER Time:2013-11-06 13:57:28

  7. #97
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    Quote Originally Posted by Intel View Post
    And phosphate prices bite the dust again.

    Those that are in this should seriously build a dcf and see what value comes out with a Phophate price of USD $120.60, down another 5% last month. You'll be in for a serious shock!

    http://siteresources.worldbank.org/I...9/Pnk_1113.pdf
    My DCF looks ok at $1.85, de-risked of course, not quite as good as that of Edison Research at $2.04.

  8. #98
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    A green hat and megaphone remains unconvincing for me - a sea weed suit gets me onside every time......

  9. #99
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    Recommend a watch of “Silver Rush” on Sky TV at the moment if you want to see what Odyssey do. Presently mining for shipwreck silver at 3,000m depth, by comparison makes Chatham phosphate mining look totally easy really;

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/n...ectid=11161467

    http://dsc.discovery.com/tv-shows/silver-rush

  10. #100
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    CRP and AOR. in lockdown. pending announcement

    anyone have a sniff of what it might be ?

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