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12-05-2020, 04:44 PM
#3261
Originally Posted by youngatheart
Odd how PLX gets a speeding ticket yet SKT does not...
Oh. SKT just got one...lol
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12-05-2020, 05:08 PM
#3262
Originally Posted by youngatheart
Oh. SKT just got one...lol
Won't be the last one issued I'd guess. Anything with a green arrow seems to be hit with a frenzy at the moment.
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13-05-2020, 10:52 AM
#3263
Member
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15-05-2020, 12:00 PM
#3264
Very Excited to see the results on Tuesday. I have completed a DCF analysis for Plexure and was wondering if anyone would like to have access to it?
Its an Excel file so not sure if i can upload it here...
It has Pessimistic, Neutral and Optimistic scenarios just based on different revenue growth assumptions for the next 5 years.
Anyway, based on Plexure's guidance which they re-announced on March 18th i have estimated about $3 million Net profit on $24.5 million Revenue, (Give or take).
If they hit that estimate the company would be making around $2.4 cents per share for the year. We would likely see another spike in the Share price.
My Pessimistic - Optimistic range for share price and market value is $1.05 - $2.54 and $146,000,000 - $354,000,000 Respectively.
Based on some comparisons from competitors such as Pushpay, Salesforce, Hubspot etc i have concluded a rough estimate based on Price/sales, Price EBITDA, Price/Book ratios of $215,000,000 NZ
If anyone would like to see the Excel file i would gladly hand it over
Cheers,
Checkmate
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15-05-2020, 01:47 PM
#3265
Been watching for couple weeks now...my gut feeling ask me to jump in....but not sure yes or no
With online n contactless society now...I could see PLX at the good position
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15-05-2020, 02:22 PM
#3266
Originally Posted by Checkmate
Very Excited to see the results on Tuesday. I have completed a DCF analysis for Plexure and was wondering if anyone would like to have access to it?
Its an Excel file so not sure if i can upload it here...
It has Pessimistic, Neutral and Optimistic scenarios just based on different revenue growth assumptions for the next 5 years.
Anyway, based on Plexure's guidance which they re-announced on March 18th i have estimated about $3 million Net profit on $24.5 million Revenue, (Give or take).
If they hit that estimate the company would be making around $2.4 cents per share for the year. We would likely see another spike in the Share price.
My Pessimistic - Optimistic range for share price and market value is $1.05 - $2.54 and $146,000,000 - $354,000,000 Respectively.
Based on some comparisons from competitors such as Pushpay, Salesforce, Hubspot etc i have concluded a rough estimate based on Price/sales, Price EBITDA, Price/Book ratios of $215,000,000 NZ
If anyone would like to see the Excel file i would gladly hand it over
Cheers,
Checkmate
Sure would love to have a look at that. Alternatively you can upload your excel file here, just choose 'insert image' and 'choose file' from your computer. Thanks for your effort.
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15-05-2020, 02:25 PM
#3267
Member
Originally Posted by Checkmate
Very Excited to see the results on Tuesday. I have completed a DCF analysis for Plexure and was wondering if anyone would like to have access to it?
Its an Excel file so not sure if i can upload it here...
It has Pessimistic, Neutral and Optimistic scenarios just based on different revenue growth assumptions for the next 5 years.
Anyway, based on Plexure's guidance which they re-announced on March 18th i have estimated about $3 million Net profit on $24.5 million Revenue, (Give or take).
If they hit that estimate the company would be making around $2.4 cents per share for the year. We would likely see another spike in the Share price.
My Pessimistic - Optimistic range for share price and market value is $1.05 - $2.54 and $146,000,000 - $354,000,000 Respectively.
Based on some comparisons from competitors such as Pushpay, Salesforce, Hubspot etc i have concluded a rough estimate based on Price/sales, Price EBITDA, Price/Book ratios of $215,000,000 NZ
If anyone would like to see the Excel file i would gladly hand it over
Cheers,
Checkmate
Checkmate thanks for your interest in sharing the information, would it be okay with you if I send you my email address by PM?.
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15-05-2020, 02:43 PM
#3268
Originally Posted by sb9
Sure would love to have a look at that. Alternatively you can upload your excel file here, just choose 'insert image' and 'choose file' from your computer. Thanks for your effort.
Sorry I've tried to use the 'Insert Image' button but i don't get an option to add a file from the computer. Is there any other way?
I will reply to the people who PM me for an emailing of the spreadsheet!
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15-05-2020, 02:58 PM
#3269
I figured out a way to post it, by way of using Wetransfer.com (it should be safe i've used it many times) here is a link:
https://we.tl/t-etaFvlKXmU
Hopefully that works, feel free to give me your thoughts and advice as to how i could possibly make my model more accurate.
There is probably some wild assumptions, like no debt... as i couldnt really predict when if ever they will incur any debt.
Cheers guys!
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15-05-2020, 03:43 PM
#3270
Checkmate, thanks for sharing your valuations (and enthusiasm.) Your FY20 revenue fig of $24.9 mill is just north of PLX's guide range of $21 to $23 mill, so not unrealistic tho' much depends on Covid.
On a sobering note, I see XRO was marked down this week after what I thought was a good result and a move into profit with a growing cash reserve. I suspect part of the markets fear, was that XRO did not make any projections for FY21.
So as well as your expected revenue, it would be great to see future projections by PLX (which in this covid world may be conservative.)
I sincerely hope you are right with your valuations. Like you I can't wait for the results release next week.
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