MCY Mercury NZ ( MRP Mighty River Power)

[sb9]

Looks like its day of downgrades today..

https://www.nzx.com/announcements/333499

"18 April 2019 – Mercury announced today that it has revised its FY2019 EBITDAF guidance from $515 million to $495 million. This is due to an expected 150 GWh reduction in full year forecast hydro generation due to continued dry weather in the Taupo area. Based on hydro generation year to date and the current below average Taupo lake level, this 150 GWh reduction is forecast to mostly occur in Q4-FY2019. FY2019 annual hydro generation is now forecast to be 4,000 GWh in line with the historic average."

[Hectorplains]

Looks like its day of downgrades today..

https://www.nzx.com/announcements/333499

"18 April 2019 – Mercury announced today that it has revised its FY2019 EBITDAF guidance from $515 million to $495 million. This is due to an expected 150 GWh reduction in full year forecast hydro generation due to continued dry weather in the Taupo area. Based on hydro generation year to date and the current below average Taupo lake level, this 150 GWh reduction is forecast to mostly occur in Q4-FY2019. FY2019 annual hydro generation is now forecast to be 4,000 GWh in line with the historic average."

Today in CEN's March op report - Taranaki Combined Cycle plant, "entered into an agreement that will enable sustained operation ." Looks like big early winter price spikes around peak periods could be ahead. That's more bad news for Flick et al. Cen's South Island storage looks good.

[Hectorplains]

Today in CEN's March op report - Taranaki Combined Cycle plant, "entered into an agreement that will enable sustained operation ." Looks like big early winter price spikes around peak periods could be ahead. That's more bad news for Flick et al. Cen's South Island storage looks good.

GNE feeling the pinch too - "Genesis now expects an outcome towards the lower end of its previously stated
FY19 EBITDAF guidance of $360 million to $375 million."

[Snoopy]

Today in CEN's March op report - Taranaki Combined Cycle plant, "entered into an agreement that will enable sustained operation ." Looks like big early winter price spikes around peak periods could be ahead. That's more bad news for Flick et al. Cen's South Island storage looks good.

I see no reason for it to be a general rule. But it does seem that when things are not so optimal for MCY, they are looking better for CEN. A really clever trader might be able to develop a long term strategy to 'swap between the two'. I prefer to not worry about picking which way the market is going and just own both!

SNOOPY

[bull....]

top performer this mth of the gentailers , playing catch up

[bull....]

on fire up 17% for the mth

[trader_jackson]

I don't get it... why is this going up so much? Yea I know interest rates are expected to stay lower for longer, but there has been a massive re-rating on MCY more so than other gentailers I feel (don't actually know if this is the case)

[bull....]

I don't get it... why is this going up so much? Yea I know interest rates are expected to stay lower for longer, but there has been a massive re-rating on MCY more so than other gentailers I feel (don't actually know if this is the case)

it was playing catch up the other gentailers . that was the opp to close the gap. it happened with gne a while ago as well when i was saying on that thread it wass not going up as much as the others and then it had its catchup although it has been a bit of laggard this mth so maybe your get gne play a catchup again soon to match the others performance this mth.

[Snow Leopard]

Back on the high side of $5.

Still my favourite power generator, and happy to hear that they are putting more wind mills up.

[Scrunch]

Huge trading volume today - 52.6m shares at $246m. The daily volume hasn't gone over about 6m in the last year (according to the Direct Broking charts). It may help explain a number of the other big volume - big value movements on the close.