Thought I'd stop by the Forex forum to wish you luck in manipulating the NZD/AUD exchange rate from the comfort of the Sharetrader forum
Exporters throughout the nation gather to give thanks to a young chap named Moosie, who, by jawboning the NZD down, has succeeded where the RBNZ had failed for years.
Suppose the same guy at Goldman Sachs who has tried to talk down the AUD to 80 cents USD over the last few months ..forecast 80 cents ... .... seems to be going the other way to me
GS have been short AUD and NZD for a while .... must be getting a bit worried .... but eventually they will be right if they stick to their guns
Maybe you could join them instead of the RBNZ Mr Moosie
I believe sooner than later NZD will go down against AUD. We could see bigger drop in NZD especially during second half this year. Thereafter down trend could continue until 2016 while having volatility. In short NZD is more vulnerable now.
My ideas are not a recommendation to either buy or sell any security or currency.Please do your own research prior to making any investment decisions.
Last edited by Valuegrowth; 20-04-2014 at 07:58 PM.
Reason: To adjust a sentence.
This KiwiOz hit the major support at 0.92 where I started buying again. It went below that level slightly but long term trend still up with out taking into account Hawkish RBNZ comments.
The elastic band snapped back!
The gradual continued build up of my short Aud/NZD positions was saved from disaster by last 24 hours events with some of them moving into profit and others still being in a fairly large loss. Certainly not going to be the best trade ever but not looking as bad as I thought it was going to be.
Hi all - what are the current views on the AUDNZD exchange rate? The NZD has been under some pressure...but will this continue or will the NZD press ahead and continue its upward trend.
From a personal point of view, I have a sum of AUD that I would like to bring back to NZD in the next 12 months. My current thinking is to drip feed it back in say 4 tranches as opposed to one lump some.
Hi all - what are the current views on the AUDNZD exchange rate? The NZD has been under some pressure...but will this continue or will the NZD press ahead and continue its upward trend.
From a personal point of view, I have a sum of AUD that I would like to bring back to NZD in the next 12 months. My current thinking is to drip feed it back in say 4 tranches as opposed to one lump some.
Given the unpredictable nature of exchange rates that is the best way course of action to avoid outright speculation.
However it is historically low (AUD/NZD rate) so if one was to speculate one would think there may be some return to mean over the medium to long term.
Despite current trends , personally I tend to think that long term AUD is a stronger economy (and hence currency) than NZD and wiser people than me are seeing current low AUD/NZD rate as a a good entry point for Aussie investments.
I see Antipodean currencies as both on long term climbs vs USD which will of course be punctuated by violent corrections.
Bookmarks