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09-03-2016, 03:45 PM
#101
Originally Posted by Joshuatree
Sorry mac my eyes glazed over and its re 2 years old; pertinent to now?
The article 3 years old but it is market theory or using better terminology market physics....Mathematics is over 2500 years old maybe older and it is still pertinent..eh?
Learn the theory Joshuatree it's mind bending because most of us have unfortunately been media taught...When you finally grasp the theory and the mechanics of market physics behind it all, then you will them able to spot the crap that some Media pump out by the so called "experts".. you will be surprised who some of them are and be able to deduce why they did it..
Winner69's thread Investing Strategies and Secular Bear Markets There is 26 pages and many posts relates to the market physics that Crestmont Research mentions..and more.
Last edited by Hoop; 09-03-2016 at 03:55 PM.
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12-03-2016, 01:53 PM
#102
We cannot predict top of the bull market. Still I didn’t become bear. Even if bear comes there will be some bulls most probably toward end of 2017 and 2018/19.All sort of panics created another great opportunity. Thank you for some good analysis here. American chickens are beating others. We should see breaking of more life time high in the coming months. Global consumers have more money in their pockets.
Last edited by Valuegrowth; 12-03-2016 at 06:31 PM.
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11-06-2016, 11:19 AM
#103
More or less we should see see-saw pattern in global markets in the short run. However, there is always bull market somewhere. Investors could park more money in some defensive stocks in the coming months as this is going to be final stage of current global bull market.
There is quite a bit of speculation on different types of assets without any fundamental reasons as well. For example, iron ore rallied dramatically in China in April and plummeted in May. We also can see over speculation in some commodities.
It is time to avoid speculative bets on assets. Volatility in USD also will create volatility in commodities. We should see next stage of strength in USD once FED begin their gradual rate hike. This should lead to next stage of weakness in commodities.
Globally, undervalued market and undervalued stocks should outperform other markets and stocks in 2016/17. In short, still we can see abound of opportunities in global stock markets especially in sectors such as consumer discretionary and consumer staples etc. We can screen further and we should find some winning sub sectors in those sectors such as house hold and personal, food and beverages, media, hotels, restaurants and leisure, consumer durables and retailing etc. Still we can see rising asset prices thanks to historically low interest rates and global central banks support.
Following are some links on commodities and currencies.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.as...6#.V1tDOLt97IU
Global food prices rose in May; commodity markets look stable for year ahead – UN
http://www.agriculture.com/markets/a...-corn-soybeans
ANALYST: SELL AT THESE NEW RECENT HIGHS FOR CORN, SOYBEANS
https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/gb...ite-trade-data
British Pound Pummelled by US Dollar as Global Investors Run Scared
http://business.scoop.co.nz/2016/06/...grocery-store/
Dairy prices down, from farm gate to grocery store
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-06-1...e-drop/7498196
Price rethink needed for Australian wheat to compete
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...ding-estimates
Grains Decline as U.S. Sees Global Supply Exceeding Estimates
My ideas are not a recommendation to either buy or sell any security, commodity or currency. Please note that I do not endorse or take responsibility for material in the above hyper-linked sites. Please do your own research.
Last edited by Valuegrowth; 11-06-2016 at 05:49 PM.
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18-06-2016, 07:13 AM
#104
Brexit should create another great opportunity in global stock markets. There are winners. Can we expect Brexit? It depends on the referendum.
http://www.express.co.uk/finance/per...ve-opportunity
REVEALED: How Brexit could give savvy investors a lucrative opportunity
BREXIT could present investors with a chance to back UK companies at a cheaper price, according to experts.
http://www.moneyobserver.com/our-analysis/when-dust-settles-brexit-will-create-buying-opportunities
When the dust settles Brexit will create buying opportunities
http://www.vox.com/2016/6/17/1196366...k-eu-explained
Brexit, the UK referendum that could tear Europe apart, explained
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29-06-2016, 09:39 PM
#105
Market players took Brexit as reason to sell stocks. We could expect another strong run in global stock markets from July onwards. In the short run pound may have some volatility. Sooner than later it should rebound at least in some extent. Brexit is not going to happen overnight. There is a legal process. By that time both UK and EU could have their own survival guides and plans. It is not that bad as many thinks. There are pros and cons. In short, there should be demand for value stocks, value markets and value currencies over over-valued markets, over valued stocks and over valued currencies such as NZD, AUD and CAD in the coming months.
In addition, normally month of June create uncertainty and poor performance in markets.
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30-06-2016, 02:58 AM
#106
Out of 28 stock markets only China and Taiwan are down at this present time..
Should be a good day on the NZX..
I am still down about 6% overall. But I can live with that..
Last edited by janner; 30-06-2016 at 03:01 AM.
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02-07-2016, 09:23 AM
#107
Some remarkable trends and events in global markets.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...rge-since-2011
British Stocks Rally to Highest Level since August on BOE Bets
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...rch-intentions
U.S. Farmers Surprise With Bigger Corn Acres as Prices Slump
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asi...ing-2016-07-01
Asian markets end higher after BOE signals more easing
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07-07-2016, 08:25 PM
#108
New Zealand market has outperformed Australian market and other Asian markets during last one year.
Originally Posted by janner
Out of 28 stock markets only China and Taiwan are down at this present time..
Should be a good day on the NZX..
I am still down about 6% overall. But I can live with that..
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/07/05/siege...heres-why.html
Siegel: Stocks may jump 15% in the 2nd half of 2016 — here’s why
Last edited by Valuegrowth; 07-07-2016 at 08:27 PM.
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08-07-2016, 06:35 AM
#109
So far New Zealand is the world’s top-performing developed market in 2016. There will be some best emerging and frontier markets as well in 2016/17.
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16-07-2016, 12:42 PM
#110
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/...ense/86778818/
Despite jitters, global stocks still make sense
https://www.thestar.com/business/201...ince-2009.html
British pound headed for best week since 2009
Brexit fears calm as Bank of England, headed by Mark Carney, unexpectedly keeps interest rates unchanged
Last edited by Valuegrowth; 16-07-2016 at 12:54 PM.
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