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  1. #341
    Senior Member TeslaGod's Avatar
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    Wall st hasn't caught on yet

    Set up looking like a break out to upside will begin our summer after earnings report and deliveries

    Fed taper talk already priced in

    Fed not looking at raising OCR possibly until 2nd half 23

  2. #342
    Senior Member TeslaGod's Avatar
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    This is the problem with the new EV maker's like Rivian .

    The want to go public with an IPO valuation of 80b.

    ... without selling a single car? they believe they are already bigger than Ford ?

    I hope they do well but to get up to even a quarter TESLA'S scale across the world it's a VERY VERY long hard road.

    When mainstream media say opposition is coming, I'm not losing sleep over my large investment in Tesla.
    Last edited by TeslaGod; 28-08-2021 at 10:54 AM.

  3. #343
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    Quote Originally Posted by TeslaGod View Post
    This is the problem with the new EV maker's like Rivian .

    When mainstream media say opposition is coming, I'm not losing sleep over my large investment in Tesla.
    Strangely enough - I don't give two hoots about it either.

  4. #344
    Senior Member TeslaGod's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by fungus pudding View Post
    Strangely enough - I don't give two hoots about it either.
    Typo.......
    Last edited by TeslaGod; 28-08-2021 at 12:12 PM. Reason: Typo

  5. #345
    Senior Member TeslaGod's Avatar
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    "Don't look for buybacks here.. Tesla's expenditure on solving transport and autonomy is on track to surpass that of NASA by mid decade.."

    Morgan Stanley.
    Last edited by TeslaGod; 28-08-2021 at 03:52 PM.

  6. #346
    Senior Member TeslaGod's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LaserEyeKiwi View Post
    My current conservative earnings model through 2023 gives the following EPS:

    2021FY: $4.65 EPS
    2022FY: $12.09 EPS
    2023FY: $19.45 EPS

    At current share price of $700, it’s trading at ~35x my 2023 earnings estimate. Fairly cheap for such a high growth company.
    Is that non GAAP EPS adjusted (fully diluted)

  7. #347
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    Quote Originally Posted by TeslaGod View Post
    Is that non GAAP EPS adjusted (fully diluted)
    GAAP Basic.

    pasted model below, but this forum pixelises it quite a bit (slightly better resolution if you click on image)

    but you’ll see I’m quite conservative on things like Energy and assume a slow ramp up of new models (and no $25k model included yet)

    32FCBD10-5E6F-4338-A69B-B760AC171960.jpg
    Last edited by LaserEyeKiwi; 28-08-2021 at 04:19 PM.

  8. #348
    Senior Member TeslaGod's Avatar
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    US 10y treasury sold off on Jerome Powell taper talk over night down -2.24% to 1.312 my 1100 PT has TNX to aprox 2.00 (inflation looking transitory Fed) so still looking strong for Tesla and other growth stocks.
    Last edited by TeslaGod; 28-08-2021 at 04:24 PM.

  9. #349
    Senior Member TeslaGod's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LaserEyeKiwi View Post
    GAAP Basic.

    pasted model below, but this forum pixelises it quite a bit (slightly better resolution if you click on image)

    but you’ll see I’m quite conservative on things like Energy and assume a slow ramp up of new models (and no $25k model included yet)

    32FCBD10-5E6F-4338-A69B-B760AC171960.jpg
    Sweet... some good reading for me in lockdown

  10. #350
    Senior Member TeslaGod's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LaserEyeKiwi View Post
    GAAP Basic.

    pasted model below, but this forum pixelises it quite a bit (slightly better resolution if you click on image)

    but you’ll see I’m quite conservative on things like Energy and assume a slow ramp up of new models (and no $25k model included yet)

    32FCBD10-5E6F-4338-A69B-B760AC171960.jpg
    Typo sorry

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