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21-08-2017, 05:37 PM
#471
Originally Posted by macduffy
Not quite. The RBNZ don't have any mandate to protect investors - first home buyers? maybe - but they do have a function in ensuring a sound financial system. That's their objective in applying lending restrictions.
I think it is beneficial to have the experts of an independent central Bank protecting the financial system.
That's especially handy in an election year when the inexpert politicians and Parties would like to introduce (risky) policies in order to please and appeal to those neglected parts of the electorate that have been hurt by the current political and economic environment (first home buyers in this case.)
I agree with Mr Morgan...The housing train wreck has been decades in the making and both Labour and National can take the credit for that😮
https://www.nbr.co.nz/opinion/housin...ades-making-gm
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21-08-2017, 07:52 PM
#472
Originally Posted by Bjauck
I think it is beneficial to have the experts of an independent central Bank protecting the financial system.
That's especially handy in an election year when the inexpert politicians and Parties would like to introduce (risky) policies in order to please and appeal to those neglected parts of the electorate that have been hurt by the current political and economic environment (first home buyers in this case.)
I agree with Mr Morgan...The housing train wreck has been decades in the making and both Labour and National can take the credit for that😮
https://www.nbr.co.nz/opinion/housin...ades-making-gm
For decades we have had negtive net migration and we have had posituve net migration (sometimes quite high) ....we have had building booms and building busts .....we have had high interest rates and we have had low interest rates ......
.......but we always seem to have a housing crisis and homeless people
Sometimes you wonder that is how the world actually works ....and housing crisis is just a term used by academics / commentators because in theory that's what we should be having.
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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21-08-2017, 08:27 PM
#473
Originally Posted by winner69
For decades we have had negtive net migration and we have had posituve net migration (sometimes quite high) ....we have had building booms and building busts .....we have had high interest rates and we have had low interest rates ......
.......but we always seem to have a housing crisis and homeless people
Sometimes you wonder that is how the world actually works ....and housing crisis is just a term used by academics / commentators because in theory that's what we should be having.
True there have always been cyrcles. However...
When the multiples of household income needed to get into a lower quartile house are as high as today, it means that raising a deposit has never been so difficult! Also, Back in the day, a household often just had the one income. Now, a second parent has to earn a decent income too - just to afford the house that could be bought with one income - back in yesteryear. The kids end up being brought up by strangers for much of the time. So those figures speak for themselves. The disparity in after tax incomes and wealth is growing.
I have not seen the figures for the number of occupants per average fourth quartile dwelling - but I would not be surprised if it has been growing over the years. I wonder how many garages are being used for housing people in Auckland...
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21-08-2017, 08:38 PM
#474
Quite right, Bj. And it's not just the "one income" bit that's changed.There's been a huge shift in the definition of "family" - housing policy needs to take account of this, somehow. Governments and society generally are a long way from solutions to this problem.
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31-08-2017, 09:40 AM
#475
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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31-08-2017, 01:26 PM
#476
Originally Posted by macduffy
Quite right, Bj. And it's not just the "one income" bit that's changed.There's been a huge shift in the definition of "family" - housing policy needs to take account of this, somehow. Governments and society generally are a long way from solutions to this problem.
What sort of changes were you thinking of? Census stats on household composition have not changed much since the 2001 census.
Most households are one family, but nearly a quarter are one person (thus one income) households.
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31-08-2017, 02:35 PM
#477
Originally Posted by winner69
What I have taken from your link to the "Housing Fallacy" pdf...is that the increase in cost of purchasing land and building has far outstripped the increase in incomes. Consequently the number of houses being built is in equilibrium to what we can afford. As the population is increasing that means that the number of occupants per dewelling in recent years has increased. Ergo, for the poorest people in Auckland, the consequence of this state of affairs is that there is overcrowding and a deterioration in well-being. Exactly what has been widely reported...
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31-08-2017, 02:47 PM
#478
Originally Posted by Bjauck
..... As the population is increasing that means that the number of occupants per dewelling in recent years has increased. Ergo, for the poorest people in Auckland, the consequence of this state of affairs is that there is overcrowding and a deterioration in well-being. Exactly what has been widely reported...
Occupants per dwelling have increased? Not according to the last census, though it may change in next year's census.
According to Stats:
Most households consist of one or two people
Households with one or two usual residents made up over half of New Zealand households, at 57.0 percent. Households with three or four usual residents were not as common, at 16.4 percent and 15.2 percent, respectively. Households with six or more usual residents made up just 4.5 percent of households. There was little change since 2001.
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31-08-2017, 02:47 PM
#479
Originally Posted by artemis
What sort of changes were you thinking of? Census stats on household composition have not changed much since the 2001 census.
Most households are one family, but nearly a quarter are one person (thus one income) households.
Many of those one person households I imagine are older widows/windowers many of whom have owned property for many years, perhaps mortgage free now. An asset rich, cash and income poor situation for many perhaps.
It would be interesting to see stats on the cheapest quartile of the property market. I imagine that is where you may see many overcrowded poor households plus the poorer pensioners. Many of the single person widowed household are likely to be in the traditional Kiwi single dwelling section property, that was often the kiwi norm decades ago. Also the smart retirement village units would have lots of single person households. These days our dear leaders have been telling young couples to buy a sardine tin apartment as that is what their policies have helped produce as the affordable option.
Last edited by Bjauck; 31-08-2017 at 02:50 PM.
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31-08-2017, 02:53 PM
#480
Originally Posted by artemis
Occupants per dwelling have increased? Not according to the last census, though it may change in next year's census.
According to Stats:
Most households consist of one or two people
Households with one or two usual residents made up over half of New Zealand households, at 57.0 percent. Households with three or four usual residents were not as common, at 16.4 percent and 15.2 percent, respectively. Households with six or more usual residents made up just 4.5 percent of households. There was little change since 2001.
Is that NZ wide not just for Auckland?
An increase in single older people living alone? What about the poorest quartile of households and properties. I would be interested how that compares with the change in number of occupants per dwelling for the top quartile of house values. I would not be surprised to see an increasing divergence as wealth levels widen....
Last edited by Bjauck; 31-08-2017 at 02:57 PM.
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