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  1. #1521
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    And here is another opportunity in case somebody missed out before ;
    Go for it.
    You will have no buying competition from me.!!….
    I am leaving the field wide open for others.
    My don't buy list includes all the usual suspects.;FBU,MGL,MPG,MVN,and STU.

  2. #1522
    Junior Member
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    And here is another opportunity in case somebody missed out before ;
    Hah, that's right, more buying opportunity coming up!

    Actually, the SP has gone south from 87 cents on very little volume over the last week or so. It looked like there was some attempt to drive the price down with large blocks of shares placed at 88 and 89 cents and with such low activity on the buy side it seemed obvious that there was little chance of selling. To inexperienced me it looked like an attempt to cap the price and make any sellers capitulate and drive the price lower. To bring the sp back up would only take a very small volume of sales. Admittedly, there's no queue of people lining up to buy.

    Sarcasm aside, if it drops much lower I will actually pick up some more. It's concerning that there are potentially still some very weak hands holding. It seems like many small holders have been looking to get shot of these for a while but were waiting until after the July dividend.

    BP, as a former proponent of MPG what are your feelings at present? What's fair value in your opinion?

  3. #1523
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by JCM View Post
    BP, as a former proponent of MPG what are your feelings at present? What's fair value in your opinion?
    Hard to say - give me a crystal ball which works!

    If we allow for a cyclical like MPG a PE of 10 and forget any growth potential, than fair value would be around $1.

    While the current mass liquidation wave in the building industry is not good for anybody, do I not think either that they damage MPG long term (though some ripple are possible). The projects will still need to be finished and whoever owns the buildings (this is not the contractor) will need to pay for the windows.

    Personally I think they are an "accumulate" below 90 cents, but sure - they ain't a Zulu company .
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  4. #1524
    Aspiring to be an Awesome Bear
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    Yep my worst performing share atm, sitting on solid red arrow was holding for the divvy then planning to get out but I appear to still be holding

  5. #1525
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Hard to say - give me a crystal ball which works!

    If we allow for a cyclical like MPG a PE of 10 and forget any growth potential, than fair value would be around $1.

    While the current mass liquidation wave in the building industry is not good for anybody, do I not think either that they damage MPG long term (though some ripple are possible). The projects will still need to be finished and whoever owns the buildings (this is not the contractor) will need to pay for the windows.

    Personally I think they are an "accumulate" below 90 cents, but sure - they ain't a Zulu company .
    The building & construction industry is getting sorted out which is painful for those affected in the short term but very positive for increased margins and profitability for the surviving players.

    MPG will be a surviving player.

  6. #1526
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    The building & construction industry is getting sorted out which is painful for those affected in the short term but very positive for increased margins and profitability for the surviving players.

    MPG will be a surviving player.
    The building sector has not got itself sorted in the 50 years I have followed it.
    Different this time.?

  7. #1527
    Legend Balance's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by percy View Post
    The building sector has not got itself sorted in the 50 years I have followed it.
    Different this time.?
    Not in the actual building & construction of buildings and projects but for the duopoly suppliers in building materials, industry consolidation has been hugely profitable!

    In fact, FBU would be gone but for its building material and residential development divisions!
    Last edited by Balance; 03-08-2018 at 01:36 PM.

  8. #1528
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    Not in the actual building & construction of buildings and projects but for the duopoly suppliers in building materials, industry consolidation has been hugely profitable!
    Some how I don't think a Mitre10 or a Placemakers store owner, would agree that Bunnings and ITM has reduced competition.
    Neither would MVN or STU,with both finding it hard to compete with imports.
    I must admit the only threat MGL and FBU face is from themselves.
    Last edited by percy; 03-08-2018 at 01:52 PM.

  9. #1529
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Finally got a new ceo

    Think he’ll pass the percy test coming from trutest (think that’s one of percy’s fav)

    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...641/285055.pdf
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #1530
    percy
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Finally got a new ceo

    Think he’ll pass the percy test coming from trutest (think that’s one of percy’s fav)

    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...641/285055.pdf
    Take care.

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