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  1. #321
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    That $1.50 odd just from a chart perspective
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  2. #322
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Yep heading back to $2 early next year

    Positive momentum on back of positive news about a coming super boom in housing

    No worries
    Agree. No worries whatsoever !
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  3. #323
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Close at $1.50 today?

    Back to where it was last March - that's good

    No reason $2 before year end
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  4. #324
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Close at $1.50 today?

    Back to where it was last March - that's good

    No reason $2 before year end
    Bang on the money mate...you're a true guru ! Agree about the second part too
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  5. #325
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Beagle View Post
    Bang on the money mate...you're a true guru ! Agree about the second part too
    Building consents data out Monday

    Likely to be good and if headlines are good then watch for that seasonal uptrend in MPG share price (as BP recent notes)
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  6. #326
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    I certainly like the current uptrend - the suggested resistance in the early 150'ies was not that hard to overcome - wasn't it? Maybe some people know already the numbers for the June building permits?

    While we wait for the official release from Statistics NZ - here are some relevant government announcements for a total of 70,000 new homes across New Zealand (and I suppose they all will have windows ):

    another 10.500 houses for Auckland:
    https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/...ouses-auckland

    10,700 houses for the Waikato:
    https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/...houses-waikato

    35,000 new houses for Tauranga:
    https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/...ouses-tauranga

    and wait - there is more:

    • Hamilton City Council – $272 million – 8,100 houses
      Greenfield development (Peacockes) on southern edge of Hamilton.
    • Waikato District Council – $37 million – 2,600 houses
      Te Kauwhata (new development on the shore of Lake Waikare).
    • Queenstown Lakes District Council – $50 million – 3,200 houses
      Two new greenfield sites (Quail Rise South and Ladies Mile) on the Frankton Flats and an extension of the Kingston township.


    Interesting how elections can sharpen the focus ... ;
    Last edited by BlackPeter; 30-07-2017 at 04:29 PM. Reason: added a headline to the links ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  7. #327
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    I certainly like the current uptrend - the suggested resistance in the early 150'ies was not that hard to overcome - wasn't it? Maybe some people know already the numbers for the June building permits?

    While we wait for the official release from Statistics NZ - here are some relevant government announcements for a total of 70,000 new homes across New Zealand (and I suppose they all will have windows ):

    another 10.500 houses for Auckland:
    https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/...ouses-auckland

    10,700 houses for the Waikato:
    https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/...houses-waikato

    35,000 new houses for Tauranga:
    https://www.beehive.govt.nz/release/...ouses-tauranga

    and wait - there is more:

    • Hamilton City Council – $272 million – 8,100 houses
      Greenfield development (Peacockes) on southern edge of Hamilton.
    • Waikato District Council – $37 million – 2,600 houses
      Te Kauwhata (new development on the shore of Lake Waikare).
    • Queenstown Lakes District Council – $50 million – 3,200 houses
      Two new greenfield sites (Quail Rise South and Ladies Mile) on the Frankton Flats and an extension of the Kingston township.


    Interesting how elections can sharpen the focus ... ;
    ......and tens of thousands in Wellington and Hutt Valley .....

    .......and no doubt heaps more retirement village units

    Gee whizz

    Only question is over what time period .....and whose going to pay for them.
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  8. #328
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Might be able to afford to double glaze my home the way this is going, BP tells me it has huge lifestyle benefits, (who cares about ROI) so it must be good as he's the guru on this stock.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  9. #329
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Residential consents DOWN 7% in June

    They'll pick up in July - no worries

    http://www.sharechat.co.nz/article/e...-7-in-junehtml
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  10. #330
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Latest building consent numbers are out 2560 units consented in June; Slightly down compared to May (2794), but June so far (except 2016) was always weaker than the May numbers). This number (while a bit below the June 2016 numbers: 2824) is well in range of what my model expected (based on the last 7 years).

    I do see this as quite positive ... and if we keep going this way, than 2017 will be the year with the highest number of building permits issued since I started recording them (2008).

    My model predicts roughly 30750 building permits for 2017. 2016 it was 29214.
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

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