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  1. #7651
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    Lets see where these Retirement stock go ....posted on 4/6

    Updated ---------4/6--------..6/7------------5/8................8/9...............7/10..........7/11............3/12............10/1

    Arvida ..............$1.37..........$1.48 ............$1.60.............$1.65............ $1.77.........$1.78..........$1.67.........$1.75
    Summerset.......$6.34..........$6.73.............$ 7.80............$8.56.............$9.15........$10 .50........$10.83........$12.35
    Ryman..............$13.35........$13.04 ..........$12.77..........$13.79..........$14.85.. ......$14.70........$14.69.........$15.05
    Oceania............$0.94..........$0.95 ............$1.03.............$1.04............ $1.20.........$1.36..........$1.29..........$1.46
    Metlifecare........$4.28..........$5.76 ............$5.92.............$5.94............$5. 98 .........$6.00..........0000............0000

    Question- has the smart money already left

  2. #7652
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    Well Mr Mkt has reacted not as I had expected. Nothing new about that. I had expected sp to be around $1.55 about now. Seems mkt has been harsh on power coys and latterly healthcare coys. As quickly as a stock can rise, it can as quickly go down. Have we seen the rise in anticipation of the 22 Jan announcement? Hopefully a lift following announcement but don’t hold your breath. When’s the Beagle get off his naughty boy chair ? Maybe the learned dog can offer some insight.

  3. #7653
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    Using the sector PE average of 18 and @ $1.42 the market is only pricing in an annualised Underlying NPAT of approximately $49M which suggests maybe only $24.5M Underlying NPAT at half year the market thinks OCA will achieve. Seems undervalued at the moment considering all the analysis done suggesting 28-33M half year.

    I anticipate upward movement in the SP next week as $1.42 also coincides pretty closely with the 20 day moving average as well as hidden divergence shown on the MACD histogram 1day chart and on the 4 hour chart a large number of hidden divergences.

    A forward PE of 18 suggests with a range of 56-66M annualised UNPAT of $1.61-1.90 SP in the near future.

    I also think that a Fwd PE of 18 is conservative and that it should be closer to 20.

    GLTAH
    Last edited by Joh13; 15-01-2021 at 07:53 PM. Reason: Adding a comment

  4. #7654
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    Is sector average PE justified for a small player, the average amd above average PE is reserved for larger and more well known stocks right?

  5. #7655
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    would investor please stop trying to ramp up the share price of this stock......

  6. #7656
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waltzingironmansinlgescul View Post
    Yes moving on up ....we just dont have any where near enough of these and never will im afraid. We are moving into places like deserts...
    Pot calling kettle black?

  7. #7657
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waltzingironmansinlgescul View Post
    would investor please stop trying to ramp up the share price of this stock......
    Is this not a forum for people to share their opinions along with how and why they came to their conclusion?

  8. #7658
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waltzingironmansinlgescul View Post
    Yes moving on up ....we just dont have any where near enough of these and never will im afraid. We are moving into places like deserts...
    Quote Originally Posted by Joh13 View Post
    Is this not a forum for people to share their opinions along with how and why they came to their conclusion?
    Precisely, take heed Beagle and Mav!

  9. #7659
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    Quote Originally Posted by Joh13 View Post
    Is this not a forum for people to share their opinions along with how and why they came to their conclusion?
    it sure is. Your post was appreciated. And, we need more like it.

  10. #7660
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waltzingironmansinlgescul View Post
    would investor please stop trying to ramp up the share price of this stock......
    I assume you say this because we are wanting to buy more at these levels?

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