sharetrader
  1. #12611
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2010
    Location
    Auckland
    Posts
    21,362

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Raving about it being EPS accretive gives the warm fuzzies eh ...must be great eh ....but its all a nonsense

    All it says that with out a cap raise (ie no new shares) its going to make a profit of at least $1 ,,,strongly eps accretive means more than $1

    You'd hope that all things they buy are for the intent of making a profit ..... rather than just adding to the charitable work they're doing
    Yes and the more profitable villages they acquire and build waters down the percentage of (lets just be honest about this), loss making basic care beds.

    Heck this acquisition might even get Maverick out of his bunker with some comments. I am sure he's more relieved than most to see some positive news.
    Last edited by Beagle; 09-05-2022 at 09:11 AM.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  2. #12612
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    , , .
    Posts
    37,897

    Default

    Got to admit those Remuera ones look pretty impressive

    Ican sense Beagle backing the truck up with share price at current prices
    Attached Images Attached Images
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  3. #12613
    Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2014
    Posts
    397

    Default

    58 apartments and 83 villas + 12 specialist care residences for $57m

    That is ~$400k per residence (some of these in remuera...) not including care facilities or shared buildings.

    Does that seem very cheap to anyone else? Am I missing something here....?

    Ok thinking this through, the current residence are presumably under ORA's so should be quite large liability attached to these?
    Last edited by James108; 09-05-2022 at 09:50 AM.

  4. #12614
    Member
    Join Date
    Oct 2011
    Posts
    307

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Raving about it being EPS accretive gives the warm fuzzies eh ...must be great eh ....but its all a nonsense

    All it says that with out a cap raise (ie no new shares) its going to make a profit of at least $1 ,,,strongly eps accretive means more than $1

    You'd hope that all things they buy are for the intent of making a profit ..... rather than just adding to the charitable work they're doing
    The presentation attached to announcement says the acquisition of the two villages will add "high single digit percent accretion to underlying earnings per share in 2023"

  5. #12615
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2010
    Location
    Auckland
    Posts
    21,362

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Balance View Post
    They all say that and then, they do a capital raising.

    Standard listed company practice.

    Could account for why sp has been weak so imo, could be a positive.
    Probably pay you to read the presentation before commenting further. Pretty modest 31% gearing after this purchase and headroom of a whopping $290m for more acquisitions plus the lift in build rate to 300 units per annum.

    Brent talking high single digit percent eps accretive...by that I presume he means 0.8-0.9 cents per share underlying eps accretive.
    By way of comparison when they acquired the Hobsonville village and Pukekohe greenfield site they were talking low single digit eps accretive, like 0.3-0.4 cps.

    I think all this really matters when the company only makes about 8 cps underlying eps.

    After reading the presentation I am very pleased indeed. Its a huge relief to see Brent earning his keep.
    http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...675/370057.pdf
    Last edited by Beagle; 09-05-2022 at 09:31 AM.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  6. #12616
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2001
    Location
    , , .
    Posts
    37,897

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Poet View Post
    The presentation attached to announcement says the acquisition of the two villages will add "high single digit percent accretion to underlying earnings per share in 2023"
    So going to add about 1 cent per share --- pe of 19 means share price should mover 18 cents at least
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  7. #12617
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2010
    Location
    Auckland
    Posts
    21,362

    Default

    Even on a PE of about 12, which seems about right for this one, to me that should be worth 10 cps but these are strange and very difficult times in the retirement sector with the share prices of all companies in this sector in very steep decline. Its well known the real estate market is falling back at serious pace so who knows how much it might add to the share price if anything ?
    Last edited by Beagle; 09-05-2022 at 09:39 AM.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

  8. #12618
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2002
    Location
    auckland, , New Zealand.
    Posts
    11,074

    Default

    people should do the cashflow calc's on the purchase to determine if it is good or not.
    just doing a purchase doesnt mean anything
    remember there assumptions in such things as eps accretion next yr are based on now not on what may change in the future
    Last edited by bull....; 09-05-2022 at 09:45 AM.
    one step ahead of the herd

  9. #12619
    Banned
    Join Date
    Nov 2013
    Posts
    8,516

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    people should do the cashflow calc's on the purchase to determine if it is good or not.
    just doing a purchase doesnt mean anything
    remember there assumptions in such things as eps accretion next yr are based on now not on what may change in the future
    Good morning Mr Gloom n Doom.

  10. #12620
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2010
    Location
    Auckland
    Posts
    21,362

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    people should do the cashflow calc's on the purchase to determine if it is good or not.
    just doing a purchase doesnt mean anything
    remember there assumptions in such things as eps accretion next yr are based on now not on what may change in the future
    Realised underlying earnings per share is positive cash flow earnings. Of course they will be investing more capex in the Bream Bay development to generate future growth in realised underlying earnings in the future and they have a $290m war chest for even more acquisitions.

    Be a good chap and go onto another thread and write about something you understand
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

Tags for this Thread

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •