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25-05-2022, 11:20 AM
#12911
"Pure downramping here"
IF EPS doesnt grow....
MAV's model says in 2024 it will and therefore anyone who is badly underwater here will be richly rewarded if they AVE down.
But the last few days indicates the Market hasnt yet bought into FOO BARS numbers.
Its worth doing some serious work on the Con Cash Flow and looking at a P&L with the Stock numbers built in which FERG seems to heading towards or already has.
Last edited by Waltzing; 25-05-2022 at 11:23 AM.
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25-05-2022, 11:20 AM
#12912
Originally Posted by couta1
Pure downramping here, $1 is well below fair value even if eps remains flat which it won't.
Should market value equal fair value.. of course not, you are comparing apples with avocados couta mv is sometimes higher than fv but this is not one of those times
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25-05-2022, 11:23 AM
#12913
Originally Posted by Habits
Should market value equal fair value.. of course not, you are comparing apples with avocados couta mv is sometimes higher than fv but this is not one of those times
Depends what measure you use to assess fv, in this case I use NTA as around fv but feel free to use your avo if you so wish.
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25-05-2022, 11:27 AM
#12914
Originally Posted by couta1
Depends what measure you use to assess fv, in this case I use NTA as around fv but feel free to use your avo if you so wish.
It's like the slide show of a house and how it is perceived by the various parties like owner, valuer, REagent, buyer. Very different results for each
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25-05-2022, 11:28 AM
#12915
In an inflationary or STAGGA environment short term the market will price for head winds.
And that is what MR B has highlighted.
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25-05-2022, 11:37 AM
#12916
Originally Posted by couta1
Depends what measure you use to assess fv, in this case I use NTA as around fv but feel free to use your avo if you so wish.
It's like the slide show of a house and how it is perceived by the various parties like owner, valuer, REagent, buyer. Very different results for each. That is why I favour charts over over-analysing, it is the markets consensus which takes shape in time
Last edited by Habits; 25-05-2022 at 11:40 AM.
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25-05-2022, 11:52 AM
#12917
Originally Posted by Habits
It's like the slide show of a house and how it is perceived by the various parties like owner, valuer, REagent, buyer. Very different results for each. That is why I favour charts over over-analysing, it is the markets consensus which takes shape in time
I definately don't over-analyse but I'm one of those nasty 'insiders' with a long term outlook, time to go for a good walk being a magic Welly day.
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25-05-2022, 12:51 PM
#12918
deleted - off topic .... horse tipping no place on this thread
Last edited by winner69; 25-05-2022 at 01:00 PM.
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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25-05-2022, 01:21 PM
#12919
Originally Posted by Rawz
We will never see $1 again
Hope you are right Rawz
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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25-05-2022, 01:26 PM
#12920
Getting close.....
Winner(n) i thought your post was right on topic.
MAV 20 to 1....
If the MAV has legs in this stock market race then 20 to 1 are for the Nag to fall at the last fence and break a leg and be put down....
Else you need to rerate the MAV's odds.
MR B has the Nag at odds that say Nah not betting on this Nag...
How many Nags in the sector race anyway and which one is how many lengths ahead ?
So far SUM other Nag is in the lead heading round the back straight bend...
Last edited by Waltzing; 25-05-2022 at 01:30 PM.
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