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  1. #2251
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brain View Post
    I would like somebody to tell me what is so magical about the 200 day moving average. What about a 250 or 275 day moving average?
    The magic thing about the MA200 is that many investors tend to use it. Otherwise it would be quite irrelevant.

    If the SP crosses this line one can often monitor how a self-fullfilling prophecy works. Doesn't mean though that it is advisable to ignore the likely stampede, better plan for it ...

    However - here is one really good news: MA200 for OCA is currently at 110. 115 is only the MA100;
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  2. #2252
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    the break of 1.15 will be bearish
    Really,who really gives a toss other than those hoping for some dirt cheap shares, a few cents here or there is immaterial.

  3. #2253
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    the break of 1.15 will be bearish
    Bull droppings or just a bear trap? BTW - 115 is the MA100 ... what's bearish about a stock sitting well above the MA200?
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  4. #2254
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BlackPeter View Post
    Bull droppings or just a bear trap? BTW - 115 is the MA100 ... what's bearish about a stock sitting well above the MA200?
    On the other hand what’s bullish about a stock sitting below it’s MA50
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #2255
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    On the other hand what’s bullish about a stock sitting below it’s MA50
    Right - I guess its all a question of perspective ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  6. #2256
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    Quote Originally Posted by Brain View Post
    I would like somebody to tell me what is so magical about the 200 day moving average. What about a 250 or 275 day moving average?
    And why is it plotted with the last point at the present time?
    Shouldn't the whole curve be displaced backwards in time by half the interval? i.e. for 200 day MA, the last point plotted should be present - 100 days.

  7. #2257
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    Quote Originally Posted by TideMan View Post
    And why is it plotted with the last point at the present time?
    Shouldn't the whole curve be displaced backwards in time by half the interval? i.e. for 200 day MA, the last point plotted should be present - 100 days.
    I would have thought that the point for today would be the average of all the closes for the last 200days.
    It's a moving average (MA) so tomorrow will include today and drop off the 1st value used today (a moving 200 day window).

  8. #2258
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TideMan View Post
    And why is it plotted with the last point at the present time?
    Shouldn't the whole curve be displaced backwards in time by half the interval? i.e. for 200 day MA, the last point plotted should be present - 100 days.
    I guess we start to move here into the very basics of statistics - nothing to do with OCA. The 200MA is the moving average of the last 200 days - and there is a value for every day with at least 200 earlier data points. Clear like mud?

    Here is some basic reading on MA's: https://www.investopedia.com/article...buy-stocks.asp

    If you need more - it might be sensibel to find a relevant thread under investment strategies to discuss
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

  9. #2259
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    http://www.sharechat.co.nz/article/8...ks-craigs.html

    ryman is craigs preferred stock says headwinds for retirement stocks
    one step ahead of the herd

  10. #2260
    ShareTrader Legend Beagle's Avatar
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    Craigs analyst hasn't done enough work to understand OCA's business model.
    Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.
    Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine

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