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17-01-2019, 02:44 PM
#671
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18-01-2019, 01:50 PM
#672
ARV not far off all time high again ...this time it’ll break through and head towards what Forbar reckon it’s worth
That’s good
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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18-01-2019, 02:06 PM
#673
Junior Member
Hi All, what are your thoughts on ARV's development margin of around 16%? It seems very low in comparison to their peers.
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18-01-2019, 02:20 PM
#674
Originally Posted by Newby
Hi All, what are your thoughts on ARV's development margin of around 16%? It seems very low in comparison to their peers.
Welcome to the forum. My thoughts. Dovetails in quite nicely with their underlying eps growth of just 17% which is also very low in comparison with their peers.
That said the market clearly likes their care based business model...my hope is that one day in the future the market will wake up and realise that OCA, (which is trading on significantly more compelling metrics) is also primarily a care based business.
Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.”
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
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01-03-2019, 05:24 PM
#675
Arvida share price goes tumbling down today ....closes at 128
No worries as last time I said tumbling it soon recovered
”When investors are euphoric, they are incapable of recognising euphoria itself “
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02-03-2019, 08:35 PM
#676
Member
A bit odd considering they go ex div on Monday, CGT fears?, they weren't using Arrow construction? Couldn't resist buying more at that price
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05-03-2019, 11:59 AM
#677
Originally Posted by winner69
Arvida share price goes tumbling down today ....closes at 128
No worries as last time I said tumbling it soon recovered
On a capital basis, OCA down 7.1% in the past 6 months, meanwhile ARV only down 5.2%... and it only looks worse for OCA when you look at dividends paid.
No worries, both about go up bigly... FXL style.
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05-03-2019, 01:03 PM
#678
Originally Posted by trader_jackson
On a capital basis, OCA down 7.1% in the past 6 months, meanwhile ARV only down 5.2%... and it only looks worse for OCA when you look at dividends paid.
No worries, both about go up bigly... FXL style.
Don't think oca is going up fast any time soon. It's just too complicated to really pin down with any certainty due to its large current reconstruction component. I suspect your ARV team TJ are experiencing the same thing. I haven't spent any time trying to understand ARV since it's report last year though. Plus Very big brother SUM is having its time in the sun soaking up investor favour. (And rightly so)But it was only a month ago it too was in the dog box under six bucks.
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11-03-2019, 10:13 AM
#679
http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...718/296477.pdf
"...end of February, 293 ORA sales had settled"... I note ORA's settled as at half year was 165 so for 5 months another nearly 130 ORA's were settled ... they say the first half was going to be much bigger than the 2nd half for ARV (and that the 3rd quarter last year was 'something that won't be repeated') but so far it looks like momentum has pretty much continued and it will be a bigly (entire) year... Huge margin in the 3rd quarter (quite the contrast to what happened at OCA)... then again, its much more fun to talk about OCA than this dog
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11-03-2019, 10:45 AM
#680
Originally Posted by trader_jackson
http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-websit...718/296477.pdf
"...end of February, 293 ORA sales had settled"... I note ORA's settled as at half year was 165 so for 5 months another nearly 130 ORA's were settled ... they say the first half was going to be much bigger than the 2nd half for ARV (and that the 3rd quarter last year was 'something that won't be repeated') but so far it looks like momentum has pretty much continued and it will be a bigly (entire) year... Huge margin in the 3rd quarter (quite the contrast to what happened at OCA)... then again, its much more fun to talk about OCA than this dog
Not a dog. Has done okay since listing in line with NZX50. How many new units are forecast for delivery in FY20 ?
Ecclesiastes 11:2: “Divide your portion to seven, or even to eight, for you do not know what misfortune may occur on the earth.”
Ben Graham - In the short run the market is a voting machine but in the long run the market is a weighing machine
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