https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxeMEKwP4G4
The Fourth Turning Is Here — How Will This Crisis End? | Neil Howe

The Fourth Turning, that's the creative destruction that's when the Phoenix rises from the ashes, and that's when the nation and the Republic reinvents itself and becomes in some sense a new Republic.

19:57 Younger people in their 20s and 30s around the world are losing faith in democracy. It's not just America this is around the world. They think democracy is just a way for older people to keep what they have, for everyone to protect those who already have, to not give any opportunities to those who don't have, and to provide no security, and no institutional stability. Nothing that can be counted on by younger generations, and this too is an aspect of the Fourth Turning.

This is much like what we saw during the 1930s uh when increasingly democracy was also in disrepute and people were turning toward fascism or communism or you know any kind of alternative.


So in the Awakening (1960s – 1980s) societies supply too much order and people don't want it. During the Fourth Turning society is not supplying enough order and people want more.

And that's really where Millennials are, at the cutting edge, a generation that is you know shell-shocked by insecurity, lack of a middle class, lack of any security in their lives, a lack of any assurance if their standard of living will ever overtake those of their parents, lack of any sense that this nation is investing in its future, or avoiding future liabilities.


During The Awakening the movement is from community to individualism.


38:39 In order to actually take the country and society into and through that phase of creative destruction of public institutions, if it isn't war it will feel like war.

In the context of that climax we redefine who we are as a nation and interestingly we undergo so many of these social transformations from privilege to equality. Society becomes more equal by the end or before a Fourth Turning through the process of crisis and the institutions set up afterwards we go from defiance to authority. Authority becomes much more powerful by the end of a fourth term which enables Society to do bigger things as a unit, long-term policy reforms, big changes in policy, large infrastructure becomes much more likely by the end of every Fourth Turning.