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    Default Kupe valuation FY2017: Part 3 ('Oil' plus 'Gas') (Iteration 2)

    Quote Originally Posted by Snoopy View Post
    Here is the short version for those who don't want to read the details. This is my estimate of the total fall in the 'forecast future value' of Kupe because of price changes and field depletion that have occurred over the FY2016 financial year.

    FY2016 (forecast) FY2017 (forecast)
    per share value Kupe Oil (pre tax) [A] 18c 17c
    per share value Kupe Gas (pre tax)[B] 22c 19c
    per share value all Kupe (pre tax) [A]+[B] 40c 36c
    per share value all Kupe (after income tax) 30c 26c


    Note that all of these comparative figures are on a 'post field revaluation reserve' basis. IOW the effect of the revaluation of the Kupe total field reserves during FY2016 has been applied to both sets of figures.
    Once again we look at the total residual value of the Kupe Field to Genesis Energy at the start of FY2016 (using NZOG production schedules as graphed in NZOG Annual Report for FY2015) compared to the total residual value of the Kupe Field to Genesis Energy at the start of FY2017 (using NZOG production schedules as graphed in NZOG Annual Report for FY2016).


    FY2016 (forecast) FY2017 (forecast)
    per share value Kupe Oil (pre tax) [A] 18c 16c
    per share value Kupe Gas (pre tax)[B] 22c 22c
    per share value all Kupe (pre tax) [A]+[B] 40c 38c
    per share value all Kupe (after income tax) 30c 28c

    Note that all of these comparative figures are on a 'post field revaluation reserve' basis. IOW the effect of the revaluation of the Kupe total field reserves during FY2016 are consistent with both sets of figures.

    SNOOPY
    Last edited by Snoopy; 05-11-2016 at 04:38 PM.
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