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19-10-2023, 07:11 AM
#17131
Originally Posted by bull....
Solid analysis, one step ahead of the herd.
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19-10-2023, 07:15 AM
#17132
Originally Posted by bull....
I doubt that a National Party govt will increase funding as they will be struggling to support their tax cuts. Will we end up with multiple bed dormitories for those who rely on government subsidies?
Last edited by Bjauck; 19-10-2023 at 07:17 AM.
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19-10-2023, 07:22 AM
#17133
Originally Posted by Bjauck
I doubt that a National Party govt will increase funding as they will be struggling to support their tax cuts. Will we end up with multiple bed dormitories for those who rely on government subsidies?
one suggestion was too pay people the subsidy to use there homes instead of going to a bed care facilty
lower revenue for RV stocks
one step ahead of the herd
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19-10-2023, 08:00 AM
#17134
Originally Posted by bull....
one suggestion was too pay people the subsidy to use there homes instead of going to a bed care facilty
lower revenue for RV stocks
Lower revenue, yet higher profit as the provision of rest home care has often been loss making.
Over the years the age on admission to a rest home has been creeping up. There are already quite a few supports in place for those who stay in their own homes. The leeway for increasing those supports must already be slim before it is neither cost effective nor safe for people to remain at home.
Last edited by Bjauck; 19-10-2023 at 08:03 AM.
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20-10-2023, 09:43 AM
#17135
Originally Posted by ronaldson
Just a reminder to everyone that OCA's Annual Report for FY23 contains the following :-
"On 9 May 2023 the Group entered into a sale and purchase agreement with a third party in respect of two sites held for sale, conditional upon Te Whatu Ora approval. The carrying amount of these sites as at 31 March 2023 is $10.2m and the transaction is expected to settle in August 2023."
The implication is that the transaction was an unconditional one, except for approval of the incoming operator as suitable to own and manage the facilities. This would appear to be a straightforward issue so it is surprising that holders continue to await an update outcome for the transaction, and to learn whether the transaction is at a gain or a loss to the carry value in OCA's books which in my view has implications for the underpinning or not of the carry value attributed to other like facilities held by OCA and other listed operators given the dearth of current transactional evidence available to valuers in this context.
These transactions are always announced upon completion even if not truly material, given the public nature of transitioning residents/occupiers (and usually staff) to another operator.
So no news at present is an unusual circumstance just now. Whereas some form of market update as to sales/resales for the half year just expired could not really be anticipated for a while and perhaps only accompanying the November announcement.
Another fortnight has passed and we are no better informed. This is perhaps the clearest indication of all that basic aged care facilities are virtually unsaleable. I know RAD recently announced the (conditional) sale of Arran Court in Auckland to (hopefully) settle in January but it has not confirmed settlement of another small facility sale previously announced, which was to be at a loss of over $1m to book value.
And remember OCA has ten facilities recorded as "held for sale" under the accounting rules. On a wider perspective this is not pretty, and the situation doesn't seem to have changed despite the increase in care/bed subsidy from 1 July 2023.
I might keep reposting the above message every fortnight in the hope Brent gets motivated to at least keep shareholders in the picture.
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20-10-2023, 10:35 AM
#17136
Member
Originally Posted by ronaldson
Another fortnight has passed and we are no better informed. This is perhaps the clearest indication of all that basic aged care facilities are virtually unsaleable. I know RAD recently announced the (conditional) sale of Arran Court in Auckland to (hopefully) settle in January but it has not confirmed settlement of another small facility sale previously announced, which was to be at a loss of over $1m to book value.
And remember OCA has ten facilities recorded as "held for sale" under the accounting rules. On a wider perspective this is not pretty, and the situation doesn't seem to have changed despite the increase in care/bed subsidy from 1 July 2023.
I might keep reposting the above message every fortnight in the hope Brent gets motivated to at least keep shareholders in the picture.
Is anyone informed as to what 'approval' is required of Te Whatu Ora to complete the sale?
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20-10-2023, 10:46 AM
#17137
Last edited by BlackPeter; 20-10-2023 at 10:48 AM.
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"Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)
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20-10-2023, 10:56 AM
#17138
BP …if she is still there ask Anna anna.thorburn@oceaniahealthcare.co.nz
You will get ‘thanks for your enquiry Peter but unfortunately but we cannot share this information with you at this time’
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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20-10-2023, 11:01 AM
#17139
If you're a shareholder and want to contact them, this is a better email than the general 'enquires' ... investor@oceaniahealthcare.co.nz "you can contact Computershare with any shareholder queries."
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20-10-2023, 11:03 AM
#17140
Instead of enquiry@ email use investor@oceaniahealthcare.co.nz
Least shows you are an ‘investor’ and not looking to move in
But bear in mind Oceania treat shareholders like a pain in the proverbial and show them little respect ….a bloody nuisance they are …until the begging bowl comes out
“ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”
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