Quote Originally Posted by blackcap View Post
Im with Smartkiwi as well and happy to date. but my question is... I like the theory behind your strategy of swapping mind,.... how can you anticipate a bull or a bear market in advance?
That is a good question. If I had a full proof way of anticipating a bull or bear market I would not be sharing it here. I would be on my way to the bank laughing.

The main statistic I am using for predicting if it is bull a bear market is the 200 day MA. When the price goes below the 200MA the price is trending down (bearish). When the price goes above the 200MA the price is trending up (bullish).

The 200MA is my main signal however before I decide to switch from a growth to conservative I will take a broader look at what is happening in the market/world.

Does anybody else have a good/simple way of deciding if it is a bear or a bull market?