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08-03-2016, 02:10 PM
#1201
Member
Pretty much in free fall at this point, am I missing something?
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08-03-2016, 02:20 PM
#1202
Originally Posted by Jinx
Pretty much in free fall at this point, am I missing something?
Other than what SB9 said about oil prices and USD - can't find anything that would indicate NZR's business or financial guidance has materially changed since the report was released. Volume is 232,581 so far today but don't think this represents a major sell-off as far as I can tell. I may look at a top-up tomorrow once new ex-div price is set.
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08-03-2016, 02:23 PM
#1203
Member
My suspicion is that part of today's selling pressure is confusion around the new T+2 settlement arrangement. It would have been ex-divi today if it wasn't for that change. I wonder if some haven't woken up yet. The depth looks just what you would expect the day the stock goes ex-divi.
I still haven't really found a good source for reasonably up-to-date Singapore complex margin data - but this fairly recent info still looks promising enough to me (despite the gloomy headline): http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/ener...igh-on-outlook
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08-03-2016, 02:38 PM
#1204
Originally Posted by Roger
Currency now close to U.S. 68 cents and oil heading back north. Questions over margins for FY16. Clear break down through the 100 day MA...tailwinds starting to abate ?
I doubt if oil would go north that quickly, whenever there is little murmur re holding supply by OPEC or supporting the price it shoots up accordingly. And I believe it's short term aberration.
As for currency, you only have to look at our own backyard re today's Fonterra's slashing their payout further. With dairy still doldrums I doubt NZD would gain any further than the current level. If it did Mr Wheelner will make sure it stays lower by cutting interest rates if not this Thursday, at least in the next round.
In my opinion, today's weakness is caused by one or two big boys who've a clear mandate to get out at any price. Just my 2 cents.
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08-03-2016, 02:41 PM
#1205
Originally Posted by Mickey
Other than what SB9 said about oil prices and USD - can't find anything that would indicate NZR's business or financial guidance has materially changed since the report was released. Volume is 232,581 so far today but don't think this represents a major sell-off as far as I can tell. I may look at a top-up tomorrow once new ex-div price is set.
I pity those that selling today to foolishly forgo fully imputed 20c divvy, that's all!!!
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08-03-2016, 02:44 PM
#1206
Originally Posted by cyclist
My suspicion is that part of today's selling pressure is confusion around the new T+2 settlement arrangement. It would have been ex-divi today if it wasn't for that change. I wonder if some haven't woken up yet. The depth looks just what you would expect the day the stock goes ex-divi.
I still haven't really found a good source for reasonably up-to-date Singapore complex margin data - but this fairly recent info still looks promising enough to me (despite the gloomy headline): http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/ener...igh-on-outlook
I think the next margin/throughput for current period is out next week, that should give us some insight into how they are tracking in light of recent commentary.
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08-03-2016, 03:13 PM
#1207
Member
Originally Posted by sb9
In my opinion, today's weakness is caused by one or two big boys who've a clear mandate to get out at any price. Just my 2 cents.
Seems harder to deny with another 100k parcel just sold :o
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08-03-2016, 03:19 PM
#1208
Seems v strange selling patterns. However, for every seller there is a buyer and with a current P/E of around 7.17 cum divie I'm tempted to buy!!
Last edited by Leftfield; 08-03-2016 at 03:31 PM.
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08-03-2016, 03:21 PM
#1209
Member
Looks cheap to me, I just topped up.
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08-03-2016, 03:29 PM
#1210
Originally Posted by freddagg
Looks cheap to me, I just topped up.
Is it just in response to jump in oil prices?
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