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  1. #11
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Monthly reporting time ... well, for CEN this is: https://www.nzx.com/files/attachments/241356.pdf

    Highlights:
    The average NI unit price achieved ($68 / MWh) is well above the average unit price NWF achieved last year ($55.37 for NWF) and much better than the average unit price for the same month last year ($54 / MWh). Obviously - we had some cold spells, but maybe the effect of the capacity reduction (CEN mothballing Huntly) starts to kick in as well?

    More wind (and more wind-electricity generated) in July 16 than in July 15. I didn't try to run the charts back into numbers, but just looking at the pictures - I'd say something like 25 to 50% more wind power generated in July 2016 (vs July 2015):

    2015 graph:
    Windpower2015July.JPG

    2016 graph:
    Windpower2016July.JPG


    On the downside:
    Plenty of water in the hydro storage and not that much wind in the first half of August.
    Overall electricity demand down 3% compared to last year.

    Still - looks sort of promising. Should shape up to a good first quarter and support the current SP;
    Last edited by BlackPeter; 16-08-2016 at 11:48 AM. Reason: pressed the save button much too early ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

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