sharetrader
Results 1 to 10 of 518

Threaded View

  1. #11
    Permanent Newbie
    Join Date
    Mar 2010
    Posts
    2,548

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Blackrose View Post
    If some one else could explain the great housing disconnect to me that would be lovely.
    If by disconnect you mean the disconnect between the price and what you actually get. I would suggest you have been fooled by central banks and inflation. Although it doesn't translate well below is a copy and paste from the nz reserve banks own inflation calculator.

    Housing
    that cost $100,000.00
    in quarter 4 of 2012
    would have cost
    $146,890.16
    in quarter 4 of 2016
    Total percentage change
    46.9%
    Number of years difference
    4.00
    Compound average annual rate
    10.1%
    Decline in purchasing power
    31.9%
    Index value for 2012 quarter 4 is
    1586.9
    Index value for 2016 quarter 4 is
    2331.0

    So over the last four years your deposit has lost 31.9% housing purchasing power. Although if you owned a house you would be quite happy with this.
    So what is the reserve bank doing about this situation http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monetary-pol...rate-decisions
    Well today they did sweet FA and will probably continue on that path because all other developed nations are following the same playbook.
    For comparison I show below wage price inflation.

    Wages
    of $100,000.00
    in quarter 4 of 2012
    would have been
    $110,210.57
    in quarter 4 of 2016
    Total percentage change
    10.2%
    Number of years difference
    4.00
    Compound average annual rate
    2.5%
    Decline in purchasing power
    9.3%
    Index value for 2012 quarter 4 is
    25.2
    Index value for 2016 quarter 4 is
    27.7

    I see a disconnect between a 9.3% and a 31.9% decline in purchasing power.
    Last edited by Aaron; 22-06-2017 at 05:07 PM.

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •