It may happen, I wont rule it out completely (that China annexes Taiwan soon) but I personally don't think its at that stage just yet. China has a lot of geopolitical tensions these days and I think they will stagger their way through them successively.
It is probable that tensions will rise in the lead up to the US elections, but I would think that China will wait to see if Trump is re-elected , or who else they have to deal with before taking any seriously confrontational military action.
But I also think that if they push him Trump might retaliate whereas your view was that he wouldn't do so, so we clearly have different ways of seeing things.
Reply With Quote
Bookmarks