Geo Political Risk

[Davexl]

Australian LNG anyone?

‘Bigger than Fukushima’: Russia’s war to leave lasting impact on LNG

https://www.smh.com.au/business/comp...28-p5a8iu.html

[moka]

Australian LNG anyone?

‘Bigger than Fukushima’: Russia’s war to leave lasting impact on LNG

https://www.smh.com.au/business/comp...28-p5a8iu.html

Same article without restricted access. https://protechlove.com/user/bigger-...impact-on-lng/

[moka]

https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/business/financial-standard/article/2001441618/as-sanctions-bite-russia-fertiliser-shortage-imperils-world-food-supply

“As sanctions bite Russia, fertiliser shortage imperils world food supply.

Sky-high fertiliser prices have farmers worldwide scaling back its use and reducing the amount of land they are planting. This, as some agricultural industry veterans warn of food shortages courtesy of the fallout from the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
Western sanctions on Russia, a major exporter of potash, ammonia, urea and other soil nutrients, have disrupted shipments of those key inputs around the globe. Fertiliser is key to keeping corn, soy, rice and wheat yields high. Growers are scrambling to adjust.

My concern at the moment is actually one of a food crisis on a global basis," Mr Will told Reuters.
On Saturday, Peru declared a state of emergency in its agriculture sector over fears of food insecurity.“

[Davexl]

Where is NZ in this - Irrelevant?

US and Australia boost military co-operation to counter China

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/us-...YKLH75M6LHMDY/

[moka]

https://www.homelandsecuritynewswire.com/dr20220325-the-war-in-ukraine-is-creating-a-massive-grain-shortage

FOOD SECURITY The War in Ukraine Is Creating a Massive Grain Shortage.

Together, Russia and Ukraine account for 30 percent of the world’s exported wheat, and the Agricultural Market Information System—an international group focusing on global food-policy initiatives—estimates that 25 countries source at least half of their supplies from the two countries. Grain exports from the war-torn region have largely stalled, as shipping ports have closed, farmland has been ruined, and farmers have been conscripted into service.

The war may exact a far broader toll, as countries that rely upon Eastern Europe’s “breadbasket” face a grain and wheat shortage that may spell widespread famine.

“I worry about the impact on parts of the world where Ukraine and Russia are much bigger sources of food, particularly in Middle Eastern and North African countries,” says Bosso, who studies food systems and public policy. “Lots of these countries subsidize staples such as bread, and if they can’t afford to, they may stop subsidizing altogether.”

Late last week, the United Nations warned that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could trigger global famine, particularly in countries such as Yemen, Ethiopia, and Russia.
Rising food prices in these countries, coupled with existing political and social turmoil, may also mean greater instability, Bosso says.

“In many ways, the rise in wheat prices in 2009 is what led to instability that created the so-called Arab Spring,” he says, referring to a series of anti-government protests, uprisings, and rebellions that spread among much of the Arab world in the early 2010s.
“I expect we might see major spikes in food insecurity, hunger, and political instability,” as a result of the grain shortage, Bosso adds.

The timing almost couldn’t be worse. April and May are major planting seasons for spring wheat, corn, and soy. Prolonged war in the region will mean that not only next year’s crops, but possibly several years’ harvests hence, are in question. Most farmers plan years in advance to buy (or save) the seeds they’ll need.
This all means that the grain shortages on the horizon now may be around for years to come, Bosso says.

If the past is any indication, when you have tight food supplies—you have hiccups in a system that’s become so finely tuned over the years—the situation serves to exacerbate existing problems of food insecurity, hunger, and instability.”

[LEMON]

Amazing contribution coming from a lemon.

So - you are capable to project? Next lesson for you would be to learn that its always dangerous to assume others do the same as you do ;

Get up off your armchair, you have a nuclear bunker to start preparing!

[LEMON]

Amazing contribution coming from a lemon.

So - you are capable to project? Next lesson for you would be to learn that its always dangerous to assume others do the same as you do ;

Just don't share its location, I heard the Indians and Filipinos are looking for a new nuclear bunker, as their own nuclear bunkers are polluted, and well you know Old Vlad wants to Nuke the world!!

[Davexl]

A conversation with Minister of Defence of Germany Christine Lambrecht

Wednesday 5.30 am start - pre register. On Germany's new found interest in heightened Defence

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIUVqo5wppA&ab_channel=AtlanticCouncil

Note change of time from 6.30am to 5.30 am NZDT

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sIUV...tlanticCouncil

[Bjauck]

https://www.homelandsecuritynewswire.com/dr20220325-the-war-in-ukraine-is-creating-a-massive-grain-shortage

FOOD SECURITY The War in Ukraine Is Creating a Massive Grain Shortage....

Failing regimes and hunger will mean Putin can build influence and re-establish an Empire.

[Bjauck]

Where is NZ in this - Irrelevant?

US and Australia boost military co-operation to counter China

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/us-...YKLH75M6LHMDY/

Not irrelevant but since PM Lange's time, we are like a Southern Fiji.