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  1. #2051
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    As you say, in a worst case scenario the would will come crashing to standstill. However, I survived Y2K, the end of the Mayan calendar, and numerous other world ending events so every day is a bonus - live on the edge and keep investing I say.

  2. #2052
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Timesurfer View Post
    As you say, in a worst case scenario the would will come crashing to standstill. However, I survived Y2K, the end of the Mayan calendar, and numerous other world ending events so every day is a bonus - live on the edge and keep investing I say.
    lol you done well to survive for so long as for living on the investing edge ill wait for more clarity on the virus being contained i dont mind missing the bottom
    one step ahead of the herd

  3. #2053
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Timesurfer View Post
    While a suspension is abnormal, the industry regularly goes through periods of pushing and cutting right back inline with prices. As long as it is only a short term blip (which is what they seem to be suggesting with Chinese holidays etc) then it should have little overall effect on the GDP. Different story for those in the local industry who won't be getting pay packets after Christmas splurging though.
    read this for update on the forestry very bad situation

    http://www.gisborneherald.co.nz/fron...p-buying-wood/
    one step ahead of the herd

  4. #2054
    Speedy Az winner69's Avatar
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    Should be a good day on the NZX today

    Bull.. might say last chance to sell before the real collapse

    King probably buying a few
    “ At the top of every bubble, everyone is convinced it's not yet a bubble.”

  5. #2055
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    Re Milk Auction
    " there does not appear to have been a large drop in Chinese demand.”
    For clarity, nothing I say is advice....

  6. #2056
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Should be a good day on the NZX today

    Bull.. might say last chance to sell before the real collapse

    King probably buying a few
    always alert

    did you know NZ gdp has been falling since 2015 and likely to get worse becuase of corona virus yet stock prices keep going up ? if you believe in the gdp , stock price relationship over the long term
    one step ahead of the herd

  7. #2057
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    Quote Originally Posted by bull.... View Post
    always alert

    did you know NZ gdp has been falling since 2015 and likely to get worse becuase of corona virus yet stock prices keep going up ? if you believe in the gdp , stock price relationship over the long term
    I thought that gdp growth has been at about 2.5% pa since 2015
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_New_Zealand

    Asset prices though have surged perhaps owing to interest rate movement.

  8. #2058
    ShareTrader Legend bull....'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bjauck View Post
    I thought that gdp growth has been at about 2.5% pa since 2015
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_New_Zealand

    Asset prices though have surged perhaps owing to interest rate movement.
    should have said gdp % growth has been falling since 2015

    https://www.stats.govt.nz/topics/gross-domestic-product

    and your right about its only the interest rate effect to support stock prices at these levels
    Last edited by bull....; 05-02-2020 at 09:37 AM.
    one step ahead of the herd

  9. #2059
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    Quote Originally Posted by winner69 View Post
    Should be a good day on the NZX today

    Bull.. might say last chance to sell before the real collapse

    King probably buying a few
    I am hoping for a real collapse.
    The amount of money I am about to invest eclipses what I already have invested so a collapse would put me in a good starting position with my changed investment structure.

  10. #2060
    always learning ... BlackPeter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by dobby41 View Post
    I am hoping for a real collapse.
    The amount of money I am about to invest eclipses what I already have invested so a collapse would put me in a good starting position with my changed investment structure.
    Problem is - the real crashes occur only if nobody has any money left to buy (i.e. everybody is fully invested). It is people like you and me who spoil what could turn into a really beautiful stock market crash ...
    ----
    "Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future" (Niels Bohr)

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