sharetrader
Page 2 of 2 FirstFirst 12
Results 11 to 19 of 19
  1. #11
    Guru
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    2,685

    Default

    Welcome back Liz.Your posts where sorely missed

  2. #12
    Guru
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    2,685

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lizard View Post
    This article by Jared Dillian is worth a read in regard to leveraged ETF's and the "beta slippage" that is created by the daily re-balancing of the ETF:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/view/artic...leveraged-etfs

    In my case, I tried BBOZ for a brief time and was reasonably impressed at the speed with which I could lose money on it. Any suggestions on ways to short these leveraged ETF's would be good.
    Definitely worth a read. Agh ! The cause of the next GFC when they try to unwind them???

  3. #13
    FEAR n GREED JBmurc's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2002
    Location
    Central Otago
    Posts
    8,476

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by kiora View Post
    Definitely worth a read. Agh ! The cause of the next GFC when they try to unwind them???
    Interesting reading ....a good comment post on the article

    1. The trick with leveraged funds is to invest during periods of true low volatility, i.e., when you expect the market to either consistently go up. Or down, if investing in inverse funds.

    2. "Look, the whole point of Wall Street is to have a transfer of wealth from the unsophisticated to the sophisticated." That is extremely un-American and, if true, we might as well turn to communism. Democracy and capitalism has no future in a land of thieves and idiots. Think about that the next time you consider investing on the advice of idiot stock brokers like this author.
    "With a good perspective on history, we can have a better understanding of the past and present, and thus a clear vision of the future." — Carlos Slim Helu

  4. #14
    Guru
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    2,685

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by kiora View Post
    Definitely worth a read. Agh ! The cause of the next GFC when they try to unwind them???
    More pouring in
    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/personal-f...ectid=11940210

  5. #15
    Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2015
    Posts
    69

    Default

    shorting the index that's only now breaking out from a 30 year lull? good luck to you sir

    https://youtu.be/Bx36hZg3BIA

  6. #16
    FEAR n GREED JBmurc's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2002
    Location
    Central Otago
    Posts
    8,476

    Default

    I haven't taken a BBUS position yet ... but certainly, keeping it on the watch list .... easy credit ultralow interest rates has been the driver of the markets ...how much larger can we tap DEBT to growth is the million dollar question... if we keep dropping rates I guess we can continue the madness ..get to a point where you make money on having debt and lose if your saving is that the future plan? or will we have a huge correction and wipe a ton of debt and see interest rates back and sane levels
    Last edited by JBmurc; 15-11-2017 at 07:57 AM.
    "With a good perspective on history, we can have a better understanding of the past and present, and thus a clear vision of the future." — Carlos Slim Helu

  7. #17
    Guru
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    2,685

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by JBmurc View Post
    I haven't taken a BBUS position yet ... but certainly, keeping it on the watch list .... easy credit ultralow interest rates has been the driver of the markets ...how much larger can we tap DEBT to growth is the million dollar question... if we keep dropping rates I guess we can continue the madness ..get to a point where you make money on having debt and lose if your saving is that the future plan? or will we have a huge correction and wipe a ton of debt and see interest rates back and sane levels
    I agree with this JB. Just when???

  8. #18
    FEAR n GREED JBmurc's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2002
    Location
    Central Otago
    Posts
    8,476

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by kiora View Post
    I agree with this JB. Just when???
    Well for sure we will get signs from the bond market ...when we see a major spike higher it's going hurt emerging markets and hurt growth in debt which as we know is the fuel driving the likes of the S&P to record highs ... so many companies loan to buy back shares to add give EPS growth and hit mgmt bousnes >> property markets at record high.. consumer debt - cusumer spending all connected ....house of cards that heading for a HUGE correction
    "With a good perspective on history, we can have a better understanding of the past and present, and thus a clear vision of the future." — Carlos Slim Helu

  9. #19
    Guru
    Join Date
    Sep 2009
    Posts
    2,685

    Default

    "The yield curve has flattened, with the spread between 10-year and 3-month Treasuries falling to 1.0% on the above graph. That is what one would expect when the Fed hikes interest rates in a low inflation environment: short-term rates will rise faster than long-term rates. But a negative yield curve, where short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, is a reliable predictor of recessions in the US economy. Each time the yield differential on the above graph crossed below zero in the last 50 years, a recession has followed within 12 months.The bull market continues but investors need to keep a weather eye on interest rates and the yield curve."
    http://tradingdiary.incrediblecharts...ding_diary.php
    Last edited by kiora; 18-11-2017 at 04:38 PM.

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •